Navalcarnero vs Ursaria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
28/04/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 33

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Perez F. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 82', 1 - 1, Gutierrez A. (Pen),
  • 84', 2 - 1, Rivas M. ,
  • 90+4', Lopez A. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Navalcarnero
39.3%
Draw
31.6%
Ursaria
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 31.2% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 29.7% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Navalcarnero's form might have worsened.
  • Ursaria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ursaria's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Navalcarnero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ursaria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Navalcarnero - Ursaria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (1.94)
    2.92
    (2.93)
    3.16
    (4.19)
    8.7%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out and 12).
    • Navalcarnero is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Ursaria is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Navalcarnero will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Navalcarnero won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Navalcarnero - Ursaria were as follows:
    17.12.2023 Ursaria - Navalcarnero 1:0
    Latest results of Navalcarnero
    Latest results of Ursaria
    21.04.2024 Ursaria - Numancia 0:1
    14.04.2024 Illescas - Ursaria 1:2
    07.04.2024 Ursaria - Atlético Paso 0:1
    31.03.2024 Llerenense - Ursaria 0:2
    24.03.2024 Ursaria - Montijo 4:1
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Sebastian Reyes31197546:232364
    2Rayo Majadahonda31189448:232563
    3Getafe B31159751:321954
    4Conquense311412540:281254
    5CD Coria31149844:331151
    6Tenerife B311451252:49347
    7RSD Alcala311381038:37147
    8Orihuela3111101042:38443
    9Ilicitano3110111050:48241
    10Las Palmas B311081339:40-138
    11CF Intercity319101238:43-537
    12Navalcarnero31991335:41-636
    13Real Madrid C31971538:44-634
    14Fuenlabrada31891431:39-833
    15Colonia M31961637:54-1733
    16Quintanar del Rey31951731:41-1032
    17Rayo Vallecano B31931930:55-2530
    18Socuellamos31691629:51-2227

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