Result
1:2
14/02/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Mineiro - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.91 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (248/321) | 84% (376/449) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (248/321) | 84% (376/449) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (13/50) | 57% (35/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (58/90) | 64% (75/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.61 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.07 | -0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 18', William Furtado 🟨,
- 24', Gabriel Moyses 🟨,
- 25', Leandro Silva ↓, Peloggia M. ↑,
- 27', 0 - 1, Kaio Jorge ⚽, Gerson (A),
- 39', Hippolito 🟨,
- 39', Matheus Henrique 🟨,
- 45+2', 0 - 2, Arroyo K. ⚽, William Furtado (A),
- 45+10', Matheus Henrique 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Arroyo K. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
- 46', Andrade F. ↓, Laercio ↑,
- 46', Hippolito ↓, Wesley ↑,
- 58', Pedrinho 🟥,
- 67', Kaio Jorge ↓, Wanderson ↑,
- 67', Gerson ↓, Christian ↑,
- 76', Villalba L. ↓, Joao Marcelo ↑,
- 80', Augusto G. ↓, Sandro Rios ↑,
- 80', Gabriel Moyses ↓, Marcelo Macola ↑,
- 83', Kaiki ↓, Kaua Prates ↑,
- 90+3', Peloggia M. 🟨,
- 90+9', 1 - 2, Peloggia M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
URT
11.5% | Draw
23.3% | Cruzeiro
65.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
URT has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for URT than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-13.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cruzeiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
URT - Cruzeiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.99 ↓
(8.95) |
3.93 ↓
(4.52) |
1.4 ↑
(1.31) |
9.2%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for URT - Cruzeiro?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Cruzeiro (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, URT won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Cruzeiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cruzeiro is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, URT won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:15. (average 0.3:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, URT won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has URT won against Cruzeiro?
URT has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against URT?
Cruzeiro has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between URT - Cruzeiro were as follows:
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Pouso Alegre | Cruzeiro | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Atletico-MG | America MG | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
Final
