Result
20:15
16/01/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Pro D2 - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | Canal+ Live 6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (20 - 12)
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
Chances of winning
Carcassonne
44.8% | Draw
4.4% | US Dax
50.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carcassonne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carcassonne's form might have worsened.US Dax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting US Dax's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carcassonne than the current prediction. (+26.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carcassonne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for US Dax than the current prediction. (-20.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for US Dax, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Carcassonne - US Dax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↑
(1.62) |
21.43 ↑
(18.29) |
1.85 ↓
(2.49) |
7.5%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 47.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
What is the prediction for Carcassonne - US Dax?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. US Dax (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 25:25.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carcassonne won 3.
- Carcassonne has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, US Dax has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Carcassonne won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 265:197. (average 22.1:16.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Carcassonne won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 167:77. (average 33.4:15.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Carcassonne won against US Dax?
Carcassonne has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has US Dax won against Carcassonne?
US Dax has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carcassonne - US Dax were as follows:
07.11.2025
US Dax
-
Carcassonne
19:0
Latest results of Carcassonne
French Pro D2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vannes | 27 | 22 | 1 | 4 | 953:485 | 105 |
| 2 | Colomiers | 27 | 19 | 0 | 8 | 775:461 | 85 |
| 3 | Provence Rugby | 27 | 16 | 0 | 11 | 786:654 | 79 |
| 4 | Valence Romans | 27 | 17 | 0 | 10 | 716:668 | 76 |
| 5 | CA Brive | 27 | 15 | 1 | 11 | 804:552 | 73 |
| 6 | US Oyonnax | 27 | 14 | 0 | 13 | 831:596 | 72 |
| 7 | Agen | 27 | 14 | 0 | 13 | 711:647 | 66 |
| 8 | Angouleme | 27 | 12 | 0 | 15 | 524:659 | 55 |
| 9 | Grenoble FC | 27 | 12 | 0 | 15 | 662:733 | 54 |
| 10 | Nevers | 27 | 11 | 1 | 15 | 695:910 | 52 |
| 11 | Aurillac | 27 | 11 | 0 | 16 | 633:773 | 52 |
| 12 | US Dax | 27 | 13 | 0 | 14 | 639:652 | 48 |
| 13 | Mont-de-Marsan | 27 | 10 | 1 | 16 | 617:881 | 45 |
| 14 | Biarritz Olympique | 27 | 10 | 1 | 16 | 673:807 | 44 |
| 15 | Beziers | 27 | 10 | 0 | 17 | 569:749 | 44 |
| 16 | Carcassonne | 27 | 7 | 1 | 19 | 509:870 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Pro D2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Pro D2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Pro D2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nationale
