USA U20 vs Italy U20 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football FIFA World Cup U20 USA U20 - Italy U20
Result
3:0
09/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • World Cup U20 - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
canadaCanadaTSN 4
chinaChinaZhiBo8
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
japanJapanJ sports 2
mexicoMexicoTUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainRTVE Play, Teledeporte
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
ukraineUkraineSuspilne Sport
usaUsaNBC Universo, Telemundo, TUDN, UNIVERSO NOW
venezuelaVenezuelaDSPORTS+ Plus
worldWorldFIFA+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.180.55
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
38
Passes
84% (331/394)79% (340/432)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.180.55
xG on target (xGOT)
1.670.31
Total shots
107
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
64
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
1414
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1518
Passes
84% (331/394)79% (340/432)
Long passes
58% (28/48)34% (17/50)
Passes in final third
71% (58/82)53% (62/117)
Crosses
33% (3/9)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.521.08
Throw-ins
1729
Fouls
1815
Tackles
56% (9/16)53% (9/17)
Duels won
4444
Clearances
258
Interceptions
148
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.311.67
Goals prevented
0.31-1.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Cremaschi B. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Iddrissou J. , Liberali M. ,
  • 57', Mosconi M. , Romano M. ,
  • 57', Riccio L. , Sala E. ,
  • 60', Campbell C. , Miller P. ,
  • 65', Norris N. 🟨,
  • 71', Habroune T. , Zambrano M. ,
  • 72', Gozo Z. , Brennan L. ,
  • 78', Verde F. , Konate I. ,
  • 79', 2 - 0, Tsakiris N. ,
  • 84', Idele J. , Benjamin E. ,
  • 87', Norris N. , Baker-Whiting R. ,
  • 87', Tsakiris N. , Corcoran M. ,
  • 90+3', 3 - 0, Cremaschi B. , Brennan L. (A),

Chances of winning


USA U20
43%
Draw
29.3%
Italy U20
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 29.2% 34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36% 29.2% 34.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • USA U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in USA U20's performance.
  • Italy U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Italy U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for USA U20 than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with USA U20 that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Italy U20 than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Italy U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • USA U20 - Italy U20 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.59)
    3.2
    (3.2)
    3.4
    (2.68)
    6.5%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for USA U20 - Italy U20?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Italy U20 will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Italy U20 (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • USA U20 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Italy U20 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • USA U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • USA U20 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of USA U20
    05.10.2025 South Africa U20 - USA U20 2:1
    02.10.2025 USA U20 - France U20 3:0
    07.09.2025 Morocco U20 - USA U20 0:0
    05.09.2025 USA U20 - Morocco U20 4:1
    Latest results of Italy U20
    04.10.2025 Argentina U20 - Italy U20 1:0
    01.10.2025 Italy U20 - Cuba U20 2:2
    28.09.2025 Italy U20 - Australia U20 1:0
    09.09.2025 Germany U20 - Italy U20 4:0
    05.09.2025 England U20 - Italy U20 1:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Chile U20 (A2)Mexico U20 (C2)1 : 4
    2Argentina U20 (D1)Nigeria U20 (F3)4 : 0
    3Ukraine U20 (B1)Spain U20 (C3)0 : 1
    4Colombia U20 (F1)South Africa U20 (E2)3 : 1
    5USA U20 (E1)Italy U20 (D2)3 : 0
    6Morocco U20 (C1)South Korea U20 (B3)2 : 1
    7Paraguay U20 (B2)Norway U20 (F2)0 : 1
    8Japan U20 (A1)France U20 (E3)0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Mexico U20 (C2)Argentina U20 (D1)
    2Spain U20 (C3)Colombia U20 (F1)2 : 3
    3USA U20 (E1)Morocco U20 (C1)
    4Norway U20 (F2)France U20 (E3)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1Colombia U20 (F1)
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2

    3rd place