Result
1:2 OT
22/02/2026 at 08:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Olympic Games - Play Offs - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | HBO Max, HBO Max |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | HBO Max |
 Bulgaria | HBO Max |
 Canada | CBC, CBC Gem, RDS 2, RDS App, Sportsnet+, TSN+ |
 Croatia | HBO Max |
 Czech-republic | CT sport, Eurosport 1, HBO Max, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Eurosport 1, HBO Max |
 Finland | Eurosport 1, HBO Max |
 France | Eurosport 1, HBO Max |
 Germany | Eurosport 1 |
 Greece | ERT 2 |
 Hungary | Eurosport 1, HBO Max, M4 Sport |
 Italy | Discovery+, Eurosport 1 |
 Mexico | Claro Sports |
 Moldova | HBO Max |
 Montenegro | HBO Max |
 Netherlands | Eurosport 1, HBO Max |
 North-macedonia | HBO Max |
 Norway | Eurosport 1, HBO Max |
 Poland | Eurosport 1, HBO Max, TVP 1 |
 Portugal | Eurosport 1 |
 Romania | Eurosport 1, HBO Max |
 Serbia | HBO Max |
 Slovakia | STVR Sport |
 Slovenia | HBO Max |
 Spain | Eurosport 1, HBO Max, RTVE Play, Teledeporte |
 Sweden | Eurosport 1, HBO Max |
 Switzerland | SRF 2, SRF 2 |
 Turkey | Eurosport 1 |
 Ukraine | Suspilne Sport |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports 7 |
 Usa | NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 42 | 28 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 2.38% (1/42) | 7.14% (2/28) |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 26 | 41 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 92.86% (26/28) | 97.62% (41/42) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 0% (0/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 100% (3/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 27 | 25 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 51.92 | 48.08 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 06:00, 0 - 1, Boldy M. (G), Matthews A. (A), Hughes Q. (A2)
- 17:03, Theodore S. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 09:27, Guentzel J. (2 min),
- 09:55, McAvoy C. (2 min),
- 18:16, 1 - 1, Makar C. (G), Toews D. (A),
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- 13:26, Bennett S. (2 min),
- 16:37, Hughes J. (2 min),
- Overtime (0 - 1)
- 01:41, 1 - 2, Hughes J. (G), Werenski Z. (A),
Chances of winning
Canada
41.1% | Draw
23.8% | USA
35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Canada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)USA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canada than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for USA than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Canada - USA Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↑
(2.25) |
3.93 ↓
(4.03) |
2.69 ↓
(2.74) |
5.5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
What is the prediction for Canada - USA?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Canada will win (votes: 14 - 50%). USA will win (votes: 8 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Canada: 31.5% – 68.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5, 3rd Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4.5, OT - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 6.5, OT - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 6, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 5.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Canada will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canada won 3.
- Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Canada: Cirelli A.
(Shoulder Injury)
Point B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There will not play in USA: Jones S.
(Upper-Body Injury)
- There are questionable in Canada: Crosby S.
(Knee Injury)
Morrissey J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Canada won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 44:40. (average 2.8:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Canada won against USA?
Canada has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has USA won against Canada?
USA has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Canada - USA were as follows:
20.02.2025
USA
-
Canada
2:3
15.02.2025
Canada
-
USA
1:3
Draw
Final tournament1/8-finals| 1 | Canada | Bye | |
| 2 | Czech Republic | Denmark | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Finland | Bye | |
| 4 | Switzerland | Italy | 3 : 0 |
| 5 | USA | Bye | |
| 6 | Sweden | Latvia | 5 : 1 |
| 7 | Slovakia | Bye | |
| 8 | Germany | France | 5 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Canada | Czech Republic | 4 : 3 |
| 2 | Finland | Switzerland | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | USA | Sweden | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Slovakia | Germany | 6 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Canada | Finland | 3 : 2 |
| 2 | USA | Slovakia | 6 : 2 |
Final3rd place
