Result
3:2 penalties
29/06/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Gold Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Lopez W. (Gtm)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Australia | ESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | OneSoccer, TLN, TSN 5, VIVA |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | ESPN 2 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1 |
 New-zealand | ESPN |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean, ESPN Norte |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Saudi-arabia | Aloula |
 Singapore | HUB Sports 2 |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Ukraine | Maincast |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Concacaf GO, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | VIX App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 1.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (413/483) | 79% (216/274) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (413/483) | 79% (216/274) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (25/49) | 32% (11/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (92/130) | 53% (28/53) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 0% (0/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Calvo F. (Pen),
- 35', Vargas J. 🟨,
- 37', Tillman M. (Pen),
- 38', Richards C. 🟨,
- 38', Vargas K. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 1, Luna D. ⚽, Arfsten M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', 2 - 1, Arfsten M. ⚽, Tillman M. (A),
- 58', Aguilera Zamora B. ↓, Rojas A. ↑,
- 58', Vargas K. ↓, Brenes J. ↑,
- 68', Alcocer J. 🟨,
- 71', 2 - 2, Martinez A. ⚽, Mora C. (A),
- 74', Bran Flores A. J. ↓, Nunez C. ↑,
- 78', de la Torre L. ↓, Downs D. ↑,
- 83', Luna D. ↓, McGlynn J. ↑,
- 84', Arfsten M. ↓, Tolkin J. ↑,
- 88', Alcocer J. ↓, van der Putten S. ↑,
- 88', Mora C. ↓, Myrie K. ↑,
- 90', Agyemang P. ↓, White B. ↑,
- Penalties (4 - 3)
- 1, Martinez A. (Pen),
- 1, Adams T. (Pen),
- 2, Vargas J. (Pen),
- 2, Tillman M. (Pen),
- 3, van der Putten S. (Pen),
- 3, Berhalter S. (Pen),
- 4, Brenes J. (Pen),
- 4, Freeman A. (Pen),
- 5, Calvo F. (Pen),
- 5, Tolkin J. (Pen),
- 6, Rojas A. (Pen),
- 6, Downs D. (Pen),
Chances of winning
USA
60.6% | Draw
24.6% | Costa Rica
14.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for USA have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Costa Rica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for USA than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Costa Rica than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
USA - Costa Rica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(1.57) |
3.85 ↓
(4.23) |
6.35 ↑
(5.63) |
5.9%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for USA - Costa Rica?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. USA will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Costa Rica will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for USA: 47.7% – 95.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. USA (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - USA (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, USA won 4.
- Recent performances by USA have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Costa Rica is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, USA is the clear favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, USA won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 1.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has USA won against Costa Rica?
USA has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Costa Rica won against USA?
Costa Rica has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between USA - Costa Rica were as follows:
22.01.2025
USA
-
Costa Rica
3:0
Latest results of Costa Rica
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | USA (D1) | Costa Rica (A2) | 3 : 2 |
| 2 | Canada (B1) | Guatemala (C2) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Mexico (A1) | Saudi Arabia (D2) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Panama (C1) | Honduras (B2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | USA (D1) | Guatemala (C2) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Mexico (A1) | Honduras (B2) | 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | USA (D1) | Mexico (A1) | 1 : 2 |
