USA vs Italy, World Baseball Classic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:8
10/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • World Baseball Classic - Group Stage
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilFox Sports App
canadaCanadaSportsnet+
germanyGermanySportdigital1+
italyItalyRaiPlay, RAI Play Sport 1, RAI Sport, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
japanJapanNetflix
mexicoMexicoTelevisa
usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Tubi TV

Match Stats

Hits
116
Errors
20
2B - double
21
3B - triple
00
Home runs
33
Runs batted in
66
Left on base
65
Base on balls
14
Strikeouts
811
Stolen bases
01
At bat
3833
Batting average
0.2890.182

Chances of winning


USA
89.6%
Italy
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
89.9% 10.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • USA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • USA - Italy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.07
    (1.08)

    9.55
    (9.62)
    3.9%
    (3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 11.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
    What is the prediction for USA - Italy?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. USA will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. USA (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -5.5, OT - Italy (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -5, OT - USA (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. USA (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Italy (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 9:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • USA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, USA is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, USA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2.
    Latest results of USA
    09.03.2026 USA - Mexico 5:3
    07.03.2026 USA - Great Britain 9:1
    06.03.2026 Brazil - USA 5:15
    03.03.2026 San Francisco Giants - USA 1:15
    23.11.2024 Venezuela - USA 1:6
    Latest results of Italy
    08.03.2026 Italy - Great Britain 7:4
    07.03.2026 Italy - Brazil 8:0
    27.09.2025 Netherlands - Italy 6:5
    26.09.2025 Czech Republic - Italy 5:8
    25.09.2025 Germany - Italy 0:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Dominican Republic (D1)South Korea (C2)10 : 0
    2Canada (A1)USA (B2)3 : 5
    3Italy (B1)Puerto Rico (A2)8 : 6
    4Japan (C1)Venezuela (D2)5 : 8

    Semi-finals
    1Dominican Republic (D1)USA (B2)1 : 2
    2Italy (B1)Venezuela (D2)2 : 4

    Final
    1USA (B2)Venezuela (D2)2 : 3