USA vs Mexico, World Baseball Classic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:3
09/03/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • World Baseball Classic - Group Stage
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport, Oneplay
germanyGermanySportdigital1+
hungaryHungarySport 2
japanJapanNetflix
mexicoMexicoTelevisa
usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox

Match Stats

Hits
87
Errors
11
2B - double
30
3B - triple
00
Home runs
22
Runs batted in
53
Left on base
114
Base on balls
71
Strikeouts
1013
Stolen bases
10
At bat
3232
Batting average
0.250.219

Chances of winning


USA
80.3%
Mexico
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
77.2% 22.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • USA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Mexico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • USA - Mexico Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.2
    (1.24)

    4.88
    (4.21)
    4%
    (4.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 11.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
    What is the prediction for USA - Mexico?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. USA will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Mexico will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. USA (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 8:4.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, USA won 2.
    • USA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, USA is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, USA won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 39:30. (average 5.6:4.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between USA - Mexico were as follows:
    14.11.2024 Mexico - USA 2:12
    12.03.2023 USA - Mexico 5:11
    Latest results of USA
    07.03.2026 USA - Great Britain 9:1
    06.03.2026 Brazil - USA 5:15
    03.03.2026 San Francisco Giants - USA 1:15
    23.11.2024 Venezuela - USA 1:6
    22.11.2024 Venezuela - USA 5:6
    Latest results of Mexico
    08.03.2026 Mexico - Brazil 16:0
    06.03.2026 Great Britain - Mexico 2:8
    30.06.2025 LMB All Stars - Mexico 3:4
    14.11.2024 Mexico - USA 2:12
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Dominican Republic (D1)South Korea (C2)10 : 0
    2Canada (A1)USA (B2)3 : 5
    3Italy (B1)Puerto Rico (A2)8 : 6
    4Japan (C1)Venezuela (D2)5 : 8

    Semi-finals
    1Dominican Republic (D1)USA (B2)1 : 2
    2Italy (B1)Venezuela (D2)2 : 4

    Final
    1USA (B2)Venezuela (D2)2 : 3