Uşakspor vs Aliaga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish Cup Uşakspor - Aliaga
Result
1:4
11/10/2023 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • TURKEY: TURKISH CUP - 1/128-FINALS

Chances of winning


Uşakspor
23.4%
Draw
25.6%
Aliaga
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 27.7% 26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9% 28.2% 25.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Uşakspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Uşakspor's form might have worsened.
  • Aliaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aliaga's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uşakspor than the current prediction. (+23.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Uşakspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliaga than the current prediction. (-25.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aliaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Uşakspor - Aliaga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.93
    (1.96)
    3.56
    (3.25)
    1.78
    (3.43)
    9.6%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Uşakspor - Aliaga?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Uşakspor will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Aliaga will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aliaga: 46.4%99%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Uşakspor is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Aliaga is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Uşakspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Aliaga will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Uşakspor
    Latest results of Aliaga
    08.10.2023 Aliaga - Talasgücü 3:0
    27.09.2023 Turgutlu - Aliaga 1:3
    23.09.2023 Aliaga - İnegöl Kafkas 1:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1TrabzonsporBodrumspor3 : 2
    2BesiktasGoztepe1 : 3
    3KonyasporIskenderunspor3 : 0
    4FenerbahceGalatasaray1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1TrabzonsporGoztepe2 : 0
    2KonyasporGalatasaray1 : 5

    Final
    1TrabzonsporGalatasaray0 : 3