USM Alger vs Belouizdad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
30/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Algeria Cup - Final

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Corner kicks
00
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Shots off target
00
Corner kicks
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Kamagate D. ,
  • 44', 2 - 0, Khaldi A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 62', 2 - 1, Ouassa Y. ,

Chances of winning


USM Alger
42.6%
Draw
38.6%
Belouizdad
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.5% 39.2% 33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4% 40.5% 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • USM Alger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in USM Alger's performance.
  • Belouizdad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Belouizdad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (-14.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with USM Alger that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belouizdad than the current prediction. (+13.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Belouizdad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • USM Alger - Belouizdad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.74
    (3.34)
    3.03
    (2.34)
    6.22
    (2.75)
    -14.4%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Nelson Mandela Stadium.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, USM Alger won 1.
    • USM Alger has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Belouizdad is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, USM Alger has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, USM Alger won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:20. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, USM Alger won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between USM Alger - Belouizdad were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Belouizdad - USM Alger 0:0
    05.07.2025 USM Alger - Belouizdad 2:0
    18.10.2024 USM Alger - Belouizdad 0:0
    24.04.2024 Belouizdad - USM Alger 1:0
    15.03.2024 Belouizdad - USM Alger 0:1
    Latest results of USM Alger
    24.04.2026 CA Batna - USM Alger 1:3
    19.04.2026 Olympic Safi - USM Alger 1:1
    11.04.2026 USM Alger - Olympic Safi 0:0
    05.04.2026 ASO Chlef - USM Alger 2:1
    01.04.2026 MC Alger - USM Alger 1:0
    Latest results of Belouizdad
    24.04.2026 Constantine - Belouizdad 2:3
    17.04.2026 Zamalek - Belouizdad 0:0
    10.04.2026 Belouizdad - Zamalek 0:1
    05.04.2026 Belouizdad - Mostaganem 7:0
    01.04.2026 Paradou - Belouizdad 0:3
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1CA BatnaAnnaba2 : 1
    2KoleaBordj Menail1 : 0
    3ParadouAdrar3 : 0
    4USF ConstantineMetlili Chaamba4 : 2
    5FrendaCB Mila2 : 1
    6ASO ChlefSidi Abdelmoumen1 : 0
    7MB BarikaMarsa El Hadjadj1 : 0
    8SaidaTelaghema3 : 0
    9MO BejaiaHarrach1 : 2
    10KabylieMB Hassi Messaoud7 : 0
    11MagraUSM Alger0 : 1
    12MO ConstantineCRB Kais3 : 1
    13Sidi Ali BoussidiArba0 : 1
    14OranMostaganem1 : 2
    15BethiouaSaoura0 : 1
    16KhroubOlympique Akbou2 : 0
    17ConstantineEl Biar4 : 1
    18TemouchentHamaissa1 : 0
    19Bechar DjedidGC Mascara4 : 3
    20ES SetifBeni Thamou1 : 0
    21TessalaBejaia0 : 1
    22Widad Adabi de BoufarikNaama3 : 0
    23Beni OulbaneAmal Bou Saada0 : 1
    24Hussein DeySedrata3 : 0
    25Wifaq Ain BenianSC Mecheria2 : 1
    26CR BelouizdadOued Fodda2 : 1
    27Ain KerchaIllizi1 : 0
    28CR Beni ThourASM Oran1 : 2
    29MC AlgerEl Bayadh1 : 0
    30KhenchelaRouisset1 : 0
    31Ben AknounRA Ain Defla2 : 0
    32Bir El AterKadiria2 : 0

    1/16-finals
    1CA BatnaKolea5 : 1
    2ParadouUSF Constantine2 : 0
    3FrendaASO Chlef0 : 1
    4MB BarikaSaida1 : 2
    5HarrachKabylie1 : 0
    6USM AlgerMO Constantine3 : 0
    7ArbaMostaganem0 : 1
    8SaouraKhroub2 : 0
    9ConstantineTemouchent3 : 0
    10Bechar DjedidES Setif0 : 4
    11BejaiaWidad Adabi de Boufarik4 : 1
    12Amal Bou SaadaHussein Dey0 : 1
    13Wifaq Ain BenianCR Belouizdad1 : 5
    14Ain KerchaASM Oran0 : 2
    15MC AlgerKhenchela2 : 1
    16Ben AknounBir El Ater2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1CA BatnaParadou4 : 3
    2ASO ChlefSaida0 : 1
    3HarrachUSM Alger2 : 3
    4MostaganemSaoura0 : 2
    5ConstantineES Setif2 : 1
    6BejaiaHussein Dey3 : 0
    7CR BelouizdadASM Oran3 : 0
    8MC AlgerBen Aknoun1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1CA BatnaSaida1 : 0
    2USM AlgerSaoura1 : 0
    3ConstantineBejaia1 : 0
    4CR BelouizdadMC Alger3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1CA BatnaUSM Alger1 : 3
    2ConstantineCR Belouizdad2 : 3

    Final
    1USM AlgerCR Belouizdad2 : 1