USM Alger vs Constantine – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Algerian Ligue 1 USM Alger - Constantine
Result
2:1
11/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
algeriaAlgeriaTV6

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
51
Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 28', 🟨,
  • 45', 0 - 1, Belhocini A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 63', 🟨,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Mahrouz R. ,
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 88', 2 - 1, Ayada B. ,
  • 89', 🟨,
  • 90+3', 🟨,
  • 90+4', Boukhenchouche S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


USM Alger
50.3%
Draw
28.1%
Constantine
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.9% 21.1% 14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8% 20.1% 14.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • USM Alger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that USM Alger's form might have worsened.
  • Constantine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Constantine's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for USM Alger, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Constantine than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Constantine, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • USM Alger - Constantine Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.38)
    3.32
    (4.25)
    4.31
    (6.4)
    7.4%
    (11.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, USM Alger won 0.
    • USM Alger is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Constantine's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, USM Alger has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, USM Alger is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, USM Alger won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, USM Alger won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between USM Alger - Constantine were as follows:
    09.04.2025 USM Alger - Constantine 1:2
    02.04.2025 Constantine - USM Alger 1:1
    21.11.2024 Constantine - USM Alger 1:0
    03.06.2024 Constantine - USM Alger 1:1
    31.01.2024 USM Alger - Constantine 1:2
    Latest results of USM Alger
    30.04.2025 USM Alger - ASO Chlef 1:2
    26.04.2025 Saoura - USM Alger 2:1
    19.04.2025 USM Alger - Kabylie 0:1
    15.04.2025 USM Alger - El Harrach 1:0
    09.04.2025 USM Alger - Constantine 1:2
    Latest results of Constantine
    27.04.2025 Constantine - Berkane 1:0
    20.04.2025 Berkane - Constantine 4:0
    09.04.2025 USM Alger - Constantine 1:2
    02.04.2025 Constantine - USM Alger 1:1
    14.03.2025 Paradou - Constantine 2:0
    Algerian Ligue 1 Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1MC Alger301513239:192058
    2Kabylie30168642:271556
    3CR Belouizdad301510544:212355
    4Saoura301271134:36-243
    5Paradou301181141:39241
    6ES Setif301181121:24-341
    7USM Alger3010101026:26040
    8Oran301241432:33-140
    9Khenchela301171228:38-1040
    10Constantine30912931:31039
    11Olympique Akbou309101124:23137
    12El Bayadh30991223:26-336
    13ASO Chlef307131024:27-334
    14Mostaganem308101223:31-834
    15Magra307101323:35-1231
    16Biskra303111612:31-1920

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2