ES Sétif vs USM Alger – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
29/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 9

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 19', 0 - 1, ,
  • 21', 0 - 2, ,
  • 36', 🟨,
  • 38', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 61', 🟨,
  • 63', 1 - 2, Djahnit A. (Pen),
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 83', 1 - 3, Bousseliou K. ,

Chances of winning


ES Sétif
42.2%
Draw
31%
USM Alger
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.9% 29.9% 24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3% 29.5% 24.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • ES Sétif has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • USM Alger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ES Sétif than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ES Sétif - USM Alger Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.02)
    2.97
    (3.1)
    3.45
    (3.83)
    8.4%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for ES Sétif - USM Alger?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. ES Sétif will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ES Sétif won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • ES Sétif may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • ES Sétif could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, ES Sétif won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, ES Sétif won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:11. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between ES Sétif - USM Alger were as follows:
    16.06.2025 USM Alger - ES Sétif 1:0
    21.12.2024 ES Sétif - USM Alger 1:1
    19.03.2024 USM Alger - ES Sétif 2:0
    14.11.2023 ES Sétif - USM Alger 2:1
    08.04.2023 ES Sétif - USM Alger 1:0
    Latest results of ES Sétif
    04.10.2025 ES Sétif - ASO Chlef 1:1
    29.09.2025 Mostaganem - ES Sétif 1:0
    19.09.2025 Rouissat - ES Sétif 3:0
    11.09.2025 ES Sétif - Constantine 2:1
    05.09.2025 El Bayadh - ES Sétif 1:1
    Latest results of USM Alger
    25.10.2025 USM Alger - AFAD Djékanou 3:0
    04.10.2025 Constantine - USM Alger 1:1
    29.09.2025 USM Alger - El Bayadh 1:1
    20.09.2025 Saoura - USM Alger 1:0
    13.09.2025 USM Alger - Khenchela 1:1
    Algerian Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1MC Alger17114218:81037
    2Constantine21106525:16936
    3Saoura20104624:22234
    4Olympique Akbou1995525:21432
    5Oran2086623:18530
    6Ben Aknoun1976624:23127
    7Rouisset2176820:22-227
    8CR Belouizdad1768320:14626
    9ES Setif2168722:25-326
    10USM Alger17510219:14525
    11Kabylie1767419:16325
    12Khenchela1967621:22-125
    13ASO Chlef2157918:21-322
    14Paradou19521221:30-917
    15Mostaganem21351312:24-1214
    16El Bayadh21271211:26-1513

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2