USM Alger vs ES Sétif – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Algerian Ligue 1 USM Alger - ES Sétif
Result
1:0
16/06/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 29

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', 🟨,
  • 45+2', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', 🟨,
  • 50', Lamara N. 🟥,
  • 54', Merghem M. , Chetti I. ,
  • 60', 🟨,
  • 61', Merili I. , Benzaza B. ,
  • 61', Khaldi A. , Mechid D. E. ,
  • 78', Benayad R. , Alli W. M. ,
  • 78', Chita O. , Likonza G. ,
  • 85', 1 - 0, Ghacha H. ,

Chances of winning


USM Alger
48.9%
Draw
29.1%
ES Sétif
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 31.8% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7% 29.8% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • USM Alger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in USM Alger's performance.
  • ES Sétif has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ES Sétif might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with USM Alger that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ES Sétif than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ES Sétif could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • USM Alger - ES Sétif Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (2.22)
    3.17
    (2.66)
    4.2
    (2.8)
    8.4%
    (18.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for USM Alger - ES Sétif?
  • Users Predictions: USM Alger will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.37%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): USM Alger will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, USM Alger won 1.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • In this match, USM Alger is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, USM Alger won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, USM Alger won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between USM Alger - ES Sétif were as follows:
    21.12.2024 ES Sétif - USM Alger 1:1
    19.03.2024 USM Alger - ES Sétif 2:0
    14.11.2023 ES Sétif - USM Alger 2:1
    08.04.2023 ES Sétif - USM Alger 1:0
    03.12.2022 USM Alger - ES Sétif 1:1
    Latest results of USM Alger
    11.06.2025 Khenchela - USM Alger 1:0
    23.05.2025 MC Alger - USM Alger 1:0
    17.05.2025 Paradou - USM Alger 3:1
    11.05.2025 USM Alger - Constantine 2:1
    Latest results of ES Sétif
    12.06.2025 Kabylie - ES Sétif 2:0
    25.05.2025 ES Sétif - Khenchela 0:1
    19.05.2025 MC Alger - ES Sétif 4:1
    15.05.2025 ES Sétif - Constantine 0:1
    Algerian Ligue 1 Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1MC Alger301513239:192058
    2Kabylie30168642:271556
    3CR Belouizdad301510544:212355
    4Saoura301271134:36-243
    5Paradou301181141:39241
    6ES Setif301181121:24-341
    7USM Alger3010101026:26040
    8Oran301241432:33-140
    9Khenchela301171228:38-1040
    10Constantine30912931:31039
    11Olympique Akbou309101124:23137
    12El Bayadh30991223:26-336
    13ASO Chlef307131024:27-334
    14Mostaganem308101223:31-834
    15Magra307101323:35-1231
    16Biskra303111612:31-1920

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2