Kabylie vs USM Alger – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
08/12/2025 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 1

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 39', 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Khaldi A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Nechat F. , Mammeri A. ,
  • 46', Sarr B. , Bada A. ,
  • 46', Messaoudi B. , Boudebouz R. ,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Mahious A. ,
  • 62', 🟨,
  • 66', Merghem M. , Akhrib L. ,
  • 69', Benzaza B. , Tendeng A. ,
  • 77', Mahious A. , Malki O. ,
  • 80', 1 - 2, Likonza G. ,
  • 83', 🟨,
  • 90', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Kabylie
43.7%
Draw
32.5%
USM Alger
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.6% 32.4% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4% 34.3% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kabylie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • USM Alger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kabylie than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kabylie, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Kabylie - USM Alger Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (1.95)
    2.85
    (2.87)
    3.89
    (4.64)
    8.1%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Kabylie - USM Alger?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kabylie will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Kabylie (3.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Kabylie (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Kabylie (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Kabylie (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kabylie won 3.
    • Recent performances by Kabylie have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • USM Alger is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, USM Alger has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Kabylie is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kabylie won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kabylie won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kabylie - USM Alger were as follows:
    19.04.2025 USM Alger - Kabylie 0:1
    09.11.2024 Kabylie - USM Alger 0:0
    06.05.2024 USM Alger - Kabylie 2:2
    07.10.2023 Kabylie - USM Alger 1:0
    05.05.2023 Kabylie - USM Alger 1:0
    Latest results of Kabylie
    04.12.2025 Kabylie - Hassi Messaoud 7:0
    28.11.2025 Kabylie - Young Africans 0:0
    22.11.2025 Al Ahly Cairo - Kabylie 4:1
    09.11.2025 Constantine - Kabylie 1:0
    03.11.2025 Kabylie - El Bayadh 4:1
    Latest results of USM Alger
    04.12.2025 Magra - USM Alger 0:1
    28.11.2025 Olympic Safi - USM Alger 0:1
    23.11.2025 USM Alger - San-Pédro 3:2
    17.11.2025 Mostaganem - USM Alger 2:2
    08.11.2025 Belouizdad - USM Alger 0:0
    Algerian Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1MC Alger17114218:81037
    2Constantine21106525:16936
    3Saoura20104624:22234
    4Olympique Akbou1995525:21432
    5Oran2086623:18530
    6Ben Aknoun1976624:23127
    7Rouisset2176820:22-227
    8CR Belouizdad1768320:14626
    9ES Setif2168722:25-326
    10USM Alger17510219:14525
    11Kabylie1767419:16325
    12Khenchela1967621:22-125
    13ASO Chlef2157918:21-322
    14Paradou19521221:30-917
    15Mostaganem21351312:24-1214
    16El Bayadh21271211:26-1513

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          Relegation ~ Ligue 2