USM Alger vs Saoura – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
21/02/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 20

Match Stats

Ball possession
75%25%
Total shots
145
Shots on target
53
Corner kicks
61
Yellow cards
13
Red cards
01
Total shots
145
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
92
Corner kicks
61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Bentaleb O. ,
  • 20', Sikiru A. , Bedi G. ,
  • 36', 🟨,
  • 39', 0 - 2, Bentaleb O. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Chetti I. , Abada A. ,
  • 46', Merili I. , Tendeng A. ,
  • 60', 1 - 2, Ghacha H. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 74', Wayou C. , Fettouhi N. ,
  • 74', Bentaleb O. , Matallah S. ,
  • 74', Saadi I. , Haddouche I. F. ,
  • 74', Benzaza B. , Bouderbala M. ,
  • 74', Kamagate D. , Benayad R. ,
  • 75', Akacem R. 🟨,
  • 85', Akacem R. 🟨,
  • 86', 🟨,

Chances of winning


USM Alger
57.4%
Draw
27.8%
Saoura
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.4% 28.8% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4% 28.3% 17.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • USM Alger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Saoura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saoura than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • USM Alger - Saoura Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.74)
    3.3
    (3.22)
    6.21
    (5.22)
    9.1%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for USM Alger - Saoura?
  • Users Predictions: USM Alger will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): USM Alger will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, USM Alger won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Saoura may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Saoura has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, USM Alger is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, USM Alger won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, USM Alger won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:7. (average 2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between USM Alger - Saoura were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Saoura - USM Alger 1:0
    26.04.2025 Saoura - USM Alger 2:1
    16.11.2024 USM Alger - Saoura 2:0
    07.06.2024 Saoura - USM Alger 2:1
    11.01.2024 USM Alger - Saoura 2:1
    Latest results of USM Alger
    14.02.2026 USM Alger - Olympic Safi 0:0
    08.02.2026 San-Pédro - USM Alger 2:3
    01.02.2026 Djoliba - USM Alger 0:0
    24.01.2026 USM Alger - Djoliba 2:0
    17.01.2026 MC Alger - USM Alger 1:0
    Latest results of Saoura
    08.02.2026 ASO Chlef - Saoura 0:1
    04.02.2026 Saoura - ES Sétif 1:0
    24.01.2026 Rouissat - Saoura 1:0
    15.01.2026 Mostaganem - Saoura 0:2
    09.01.2026 Constantine - Saoura 1:0
    Algerian Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1MC Alger17114218:81037
    2Constantine21106525:16936
    3Saoura20104624:22234
    4Olympique Akbou1995525:21432
    5Oran2086623:18530
    6Ben Aknoun1976624:23127
    7Rouisset2176820:22-227
    8CR Belouizdad1768320:14626
    9ES Setif2168722:25-326
    10USM Alger17510219:14525
    11Kabylie1767419:16325
    12Khenchela1967621:22-125
    13ASO Chlef2157918:21-322
    14Paradou19521221:30-917
    15Mostaganem21351312:24-1214
    16El Bayadh21271211:26-1513

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2