Usman Nurmagomedov vs Alfie Davis – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Nurmagomedov U. - 3rd Round TKO
07/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LIGHTWEIGHT - MEN: PFL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Oneplay Sport 2

Chances of winning


Usman Nurmagomedov
90.5%
Alfie Davis
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
89.8% 10.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Usman Nurmagomedov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Alfie Davis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Usman Nurmagomedov - Alfie Davis Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.03
    (1.04)

    9.8
    (9.15)
    7.3%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
    Preview Facts
    • Nurmagomedov Usman defending title.
    • In this match, Nurmagomedov is the undisputed favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the fighters.
    Latest results of Usman Nurmagomedov
    03.10.2025 Usman Nurmagomedov - Paul Hughes Nurmagomedov U. win
    25.01.2025 Usman Nurmagomedov - Paul Hughes Nurmagomedov U. win
    07.09.2024 Usman Nurmagomedov - Alexander Shabliy Nurmagomedov U. win
    08.10.2023 Usman Nurmagomedov - Brent Primus Nurmagomedov U. win
    Latest results of Alfie Davis
    15.08.2025 Alfie Davis - Gadzhi Rabadanov Davis A. win
    20.06.2025 Brent Primus - Alfie Davis Davis A. win
    18.04.2025 Clay Collard - Alfie Davis Davis A. - 1st Round TKO
    29.11.2024 Mansour Barnaoui - Alfie Davis Barnaoui M. - 3rd Round TKO
    22.03.2024 Tofiq Musayev - Alfie Davis Canceled
    Draw
    2025

    Quarter-finals
    1Mohammadseifi M.El Sisy A.
    2Eid G.Fahmi M.
    3Hamli S. E.Khan A.
    4Saleem A.Tairi S.

    Semi-finals
    1Mohammadseifi M.Fahmi M.
    2Hamli S. E.Tairi S.

    Final
    1Fahmi M.Hamli S. E.