Result
1:0
01/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Aragon TV |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Suarez D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 30', Garcia A. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Utebo
55.3% | Draw
26.5% | Náxara
18.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Utebo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Utebo's form might have worsened.Náxara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utebo than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Utebo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Utebo - Náxara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↑
(1.48) |
3.46 ↓
(3.86) |
5.04 ↓
(6) |
8.9%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Utebo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Utebo is considered a favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Utebo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Utebo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Utebo won against Náxara?
Utebo has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Náxara won against Utebo?
Náxara has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Utebo - Náxara were as follows:
19.10.2025
Náxara
-
Utebo
0:2
10.03.2024
Náxara
-
Utebo
1:0
28.10.2023
Utebo
-
Náxara
3:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | R. Union ✔ | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 58:29 | 29 | 65 |
| 2 | Alaves B | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 36:19 | 17 | 55 |
| 3 | UD Logrones | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 66:32 | 34 | 54 |
| 4 | Tudelano | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 53:37 | 16 | 53 |
| 5 | Utebo FC | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 53:40 | 13 | 52 |
| 6 | Ebro | 31 | 10 | 16 | 5 | 40:31 | 9 | 46 |
| 7 | Sestao | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 36:30 | 6 | 45 |
| 8 | Amorebieta | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 32:28 | 4 | 45 |
| 9 | Eibar B | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 36:37 | -1 | 45 |
| 10 | Basconia | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 48:40 | 8 | 42 |
| 11 | Gernika | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 33:39 | -6 | 42 |
| 12 | Naxara | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 38 |
| 13 | Ejea | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 33:46 | -13 | 34 |
| 14 | Beasain | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 34:42 | -8 | 32 |
| 15 | SD Logrones | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 20:39 | -19 | 31 |
| 16 | Mutilvera | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 30 |
| 17 | Zaragoza B | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 27:54 | -27 | 25 |
| 18 | Alfaro ✔ | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 30:56 | -26 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
R. Union is Confirmed as championsnQualified for
Alfaro is Relegated to
