Utica Comets vs Toronto Marlies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey AHL
Result
3:4 penalties
27/12/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2521
Shooting PCT
12% (3/25)14.29% (3/21)
Goalkeeper Saves
1822
Saves PCT
85.71% (18/21)88% (22/25)
Penalties
46
PIM
812
Power-play Goals
20
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
33.33% (2/6)0% (0/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (4/4)66.67% (4/6)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 03:54, 0 - 1, Groulx B. (G), Shaw L. (A), Lettieri V. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 04:32, 1 - 1, Squires C. (G), Hameenaho L. (A), Vilen T. (A2)
  • 05:52, 1 - 2, Shaw L. (G), Groulx B. (A), Lettieri V. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (2 - 1)
  • 00:14, 1 - 3, Pezzetta M. (G), Johnson R. (A), Johnstone M. (A2)
  • 14:59, 2 - 3, Lachance S. (G), Criscuolo K. (A), Hameenaho L. (A2)
  • 19:57, 3 - 3, Lachance S. (G), Criscuolo K. (A), Hameenaho L. (A2)
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (1 - 2)
  • 1, Haymes L. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, Hameenaho L. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Groulx B. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Parent X. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Shaw L. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Bordeleau T. (Penalty Shot),
  • 4, Lettieri V. (Penalty Shot),
  • 4, Casey S. (Penalty Shot),
  • 5, Valis B. (Penalty Shot),
  • 5, Vilen T. (Penalty Shot),
  • 6, Tverberg R. (Penalty Shot),
  • 6, Osipov D. (Penalty Shot),
  • 7, Pare C. (Penalty Shot),
  • 7, Squires C. (Penalty Shot),
  • 8, Quillan J. (Penalty Shot),
  • 8, Gruden J. (Penalty Shot),
  • 9, Barbolini M. (Penalty Shot),
  • 9, Criscuolo K. (Penalty Shot),

Chances of winning


Utica Comets
35.1%		Draw
23.5%		Toronto Marlies
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.3% 22.5% 46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4% 22.6% 46%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Utica Comets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Toronto Marlies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utica Comets than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
    •

    Utica Comets - Toronto Marlies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.59 ↓
    (2.97)    		 3.88 ↓
    (4.13)    		 2.24 ↑
    (2.01)    		 9.1%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
    What is the prediction for Utica Comets - Toronto Marlies?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Utica will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Toronto will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Utica (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utica won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Toronto is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Utica won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 59:73. (average 3:3.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Utica won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:36. (average 3.2:4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Utica Comets - Toronto Marlies were as follows:
    19.10.2025 Toronto Marlies - Utica Comets 3:2
    16.04.2025 Utica Comets - Toronto Marlies 2:6
    02.04.2025 Toronto Marlies - Utica Comets 1:2
    11.01.2025 Utica Comets - Toronto Marlies 4:1
    20.10.2024 Toronto Marlies - Utica Comets 4:0
    Latest results of Utica Comets
    20.12.2025 Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Utica Comets 2:3
    19.12.2025 Utica Comets - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins 2:4 ✺
    17.12.2025 Rochester Americans - Utica Comets 2:3 ✺
    13.12.2025 Utica Comets - Springfield Thunderbirds 2:3
    12.12.2025 Utica Comets - Hartford Wolf Pack 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Toronto Marlies
    26.12.2025 Toronto Marlies - Belleville Senators 3:2 ✺
    21.12.2025 Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies 8:4
    20.12.2025 Toronto Marlies - Belleville Senators 4:3
    14.12.2025 Toronto Marlies - Cleveland Monsters 3:2
    12.12.2025 Laval Rocket - Toronto Marlies 5:2
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins553211111182:11887
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton57315714189:15079
    3Charlotte Checkers56267518188:15771
    4Hershey Bears57206823164:17760
    5Bridgeport Islanders57204825170:17856
    6Lehigh Valley Phantoms56168626166:18854
    7Springfield Thunderbirds56193727151:19651
    8Hartford Wolf Pack55184627149:18550


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins5636749196:11190
    2Chicago Wolves532171213172:16768
    3Manitoba Moose52234619136:14360
    4Texas Stars54189423162:17158
    5Milwaukee Admirals54148725152:16551
    6Rockford IceHogs56155432152:19444
    7Iowa Wild54136530126:17043


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign56299216190:15178
    2Colorado Eagles55267814178:13974
    3San Jose Barracuda54259416188:16472
    4Bakersfield Condors572281017192:17870
    5Coachella Valley Firebirds55219520184:17065
    6San Diego Gulls552051218164:16162
    7Henderson Silver Knights542231019179:16860
    8Tucson Roadrunners561312823171:18758
    9Calgary Wranglers571091424152:20852
    10Abbotsford Canucks58138631132:19548


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket592610518192:15777
    2Syracuse Crunch56323417184:13674
    3Cleveland Monsters561713719164:16767
    4Toronto Marlies56207920176:18063
    5Rochester Americans54195921166:16857
    6Belleville Senators58166828181:21452
    7Utica Comets56173927144:17949

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )

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