Utrecht vs Ajax – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
09/11/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 12
  • Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 4
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 5
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
franceFranceDAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 2
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceNova Sports Prime
hong-kongHong-kongmyTV SUPER
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyComo TV
japanJapanU-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 4
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
russiaRussiaTV Start
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3, Arena Sport 5
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
spainSpainGolStadium
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.290.55
Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
76% (212/279)86% (545/636)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.290.55
xG on target (xGOT)
2.560.64
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2527
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
76% (212/279)86% (545/636)
Long passes
37% (17/46)36% (17/47)
Passes in final third
56% (44/79)74% (119/161)
Crosses
43% (9/21)13% (3/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.820.90
Throw-ins
1813
Fouls
1510
Tackles
52% (12/23)53% (10/19)
Duels won
5756
Clearances
3923
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.642.56
Goals prevented
-0.360.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Didden M. , El Karouani S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', 2 - 0, Haller S. , El Karouani S. (A),
  • 56', 2 - 1, Godts M. , Regeer Y. (A),
  • 67', Blake A. , Cathline Y. ,
  • 67', Haller S. , Min D. ,
  • 67', Rosa L. , Gaaei A. ,
  • 67', Gloukh O. , Klaassen D. ,
  • 85', Horemans S. 🟨,
  • 85', de Wit D. , Bozdogan C. ,
  • 87', Edvardsen O. , Bounida R. ,
  • 88', Taylor K. , Dolberg K. ,
  • 88', Godts M. , Moro R. ,
  • 88', Rodriguez M. , Eerdhuijzen M. ,

Chances of winning


Utrecht
33.3%
Draw
26%
Ajax
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.6% 24.1% 44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8% 24.7% 45.5%

Utrecht - Ajax Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.87
(2.99)
3.68
(3.91)
2.33
(2.13)
4.8%
(6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Utrecht - Ajax?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Utrecht will win (votes: 2 - 10%). Ajax will win (votes: 7 - 35%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 55%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.2%76.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 2.
    • Recent performances by Utrecht have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ajax is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ajax may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Utrecht: Jensen V. (Muscle Injury) Vesterlund N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S. (Groin Injury) Dolberg K. (Abdominal strain) van den Boomen B. (Back Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:42. (average 1.2:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Utrecht won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Utrecht - Ajax were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Utrecht - Ajax 4:0
    04.12.2024 Ajax - Utrecht 2:2
    03.03.2024 Ajax - Utrecht 2:0
    22.10.2023 Utrecht - Ajax 4:3
    21.05.2023 Ajax - Utrecht 3:1
    Latest results of Utrecht
    06.11.2025 Utrecht - Porto 1:1
    02.11.2025 Utrecht - NEC Nijmegen 1:0
    26.10.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Utrecht 4:1
    23.10.2025 Freiburg - Utrecht 2:0
    18.10.2025 Utrecht - Volendam 3:1
    Latest results of Ajax
    05.11.2025 Ajax - Galatasaray 0:3
    01.11.2025 Ajax - Heerenveen 1:1
    26.10.2025 Twente - Ajax 2:3
    22.10.2025 Chelsea - Ajax 5:1
    18.10.2025 Ajax - AZ Alkmaar 0:2
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV13111141:172434
    2Feyenoord1391333:161728
    3AZ Alkmaar1373326:21524
    4Nijmegen1363433:221121
    5Utrecht1362523:17620
    6Ajax1355323:19420
    7Groningen1362519:19020
    8Sittard1453620:22-218
    9Twente1345421:19217
    10Sparta Rotterdam1352615:25-1017
    11Heerenveen1445523:24-117
    12G.A. Eagles1344521:22-116
    13Excelsior1451814:24-1016
    14Zwolle1444618:30-1216
    15FC Volendam1335517:21-414
    16Heracles1441922:36-1413
    17NAC Breda1433815:23-812
    18Telstar1324715:22-710

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie