Result
2:1
09/11/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 12
- Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Albania | SuperSport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 5 |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 2 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | Nova Sports Prime |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Extra 1 |
 Portugal | DAZN 1, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 5 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (212/279) | 86% (545/636) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.56 | 0.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (212/279) | 86% (545/636) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (17/46) | 36% (17/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (44/79) | 74% (119/161) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (9/21) | 13% (3/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.90 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (12/23) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.64 | 2.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.36 | 0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Didden M. ⚽, El Karouani S. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', 2 - 0, Haller S. ⚽, El Karouani S. (A),
- 56', 2 - 1, Godts M. ⚽, Regeer Y. (A),
- 67', Blake A. ↓, Cathline Y. ↑,
- 67', Haller S. ↓, Min D. ↑,
- 67', Rosa L. ↓, Gaaei A. ↑,
- 67', Gloukh O. ↓, Klaassen D. ↑,
- 85', Horemans S. 🟨,
- 85', de Wit D. ↓, Bozdogan C. ↑,
- 87', Edvardsen O. ↓, Bounida R. ↑,
- 88', Taylor K. ↓, Dolberg K. ↑,
- 88', Godts M. ↓, Moro R. ↑,
- 88', Rodriguez M. ↓, Eerdhuijzen M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Utrecht
33.3% | Draw
26% | Ajax
40.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Utrecht - Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.87 ↓
(2.99) |
3.68 ↓
(3.91) |
2.33 ↑
(2.13) |
4.8%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Utrecht - Ajax?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Utrecht will win (votes: 2 - 10%). Ajax will win (votes: 7 - 35%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 55%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.2% – 76.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 2.
- Recent performances by Utrecht have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ajax is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ajax may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Utrecht: Jensen V.
(Muscle Injury)
Vesterlund N.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S.
(Groin Injury)
Dolberg K.
(Abdominal strain)
van den Boomen B.
(Back Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:42. (average 1.2:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Utrecht won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Utrecht won against Ajax?
Utrecht has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against Utrecht?
Ajax has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Utrecht - Ajax were as follows:
20.04.2025
Utrecht
-
Ajax
4:0
04.12.2024
Ajax
-
Utrecht
2:2
03.03.2024
Ajax
-
Utrecht
2:0
22.10.2023
Utrecht
-
Ajax
4:3
21.05.2023
Ajax
-
Utrecht
3:1
Latest results of Utrecht
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 70:29 | 41 | 62 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 55:33 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 59:40 | 19 | 43 |
| 4 | Ajax | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:38 | 4 | 39 |
| 6 | Twente | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:40 | -9 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 36:31 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Groningen | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Sittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36:43 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Heracles | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 31:62 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
