Result
0:1
15/03/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 26
- Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Indonesia | Kompas TV |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 29 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (348/444) | 80% (300/376) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 74% (124/168) | 65% (67/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 11% (2/18) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 62% (16/26) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 28 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', Sandler P. ↓, Ouaissa S. ↑,
- 61', Fraulo O. ↓, Jensen V. ↑,
- 61', Toornstra J. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
- 61', Ohio N. ↓, Blake A. ↑,
- 74', Ouwejan T. 🟨,
- 75', Linssen B. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
- 75', Hansen S. ↓, Hoedemakers M. ↑,
- 76', Larsen L. O. ↓, Onal B. ↑,
- 82', 0 - 1, van Crooij V. (Pen),
- 85', Iqbal Z. ↓, Min D. ↑,
- 87', El Karouani S. ↓, Descotte A. ↑,
- 90', Verdonk C. 🟨,
- 90+1', Onal B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Utrecht
53.8% | Draw
25.3% | NEC Nijmegen
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Utrecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Utrecht - NEC Nijmegen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↑
(1.7) |
3.76 ↓
(4.11) |
4.52 ↑
(4.4) |
5.1%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Utrecht - NEC Nijmegen?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Utrecht will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Utrecht: 42.8% – 90.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Utrecht won 2.
- Recent matches Utrecht is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Nijmegen is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Utrecht is a favorite.
- There will not play in Utrecht: Bozdogan C.
(Injury)
Cathline Y.
(Knee Injury)
Rodriguez M.
(Groin Injury)
Van Hees R.
(Knee Injury)
Vesterlund N.
(Ankle Injury)
el Arguioui R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Nijmegen: Sandler P.
(Muscle Injury)
Schone L.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Utrecht: Jonathans M.
(Injury)
van der Hoorn M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Nijmegen: Ogawa K.
(Inactive)
Sano K.
(Foot Injury)
- Last 17 head-to-head matches Utrecht won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20:17 (average 1.2:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Utrecht won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Utrecht won against NEC Nijmegen?
Utrecht has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against Utrecht?
NEC Nijmegen has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Utrecht - NEC Nijmegen were as follows:
24.11.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Utrecht
1:2
17.03.2024
Utrecht
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:0
23.09.2023
NEC Nijmegen
-
Utrecht
3:0
12.03.2023
NEC Nijmegen
-
Utrecht
2:2
16.09.2022
Utrecht
-
NEC Nijmegen
0:0
Latest results of Utrecht
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 | Nijmegen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 6 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Zwolle | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Sparta Rotterdam | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | NAC Breda | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Groningen | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
| 13 | Sittard | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Heerenveen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Twente | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Telstar | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Excelsior | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
| 18 | Heracles | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
