Result
1:3
11/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 18
- Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 1.78 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 75% | 25% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (546/651) | 56% (121/215) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 1.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (546/651) | 56% (121/215) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (23/59) | 39% (31/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (234/301) | 56% (40/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (8/31) | 0% (0/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.30 | 0.74 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 50 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.21 | 0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 5', 0 - 1, Alarcon A. ⚽, Zechiel G. (A),
- 25', Ouaissa S. 🟨,
- 32', Didden M. 🟨,
- 45', 0 - 2, Zechiel G. ⚽, Stepanov A. (A),
- 45', Sandler P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', 0 - 3, Cathline Y. ⚽, El Karouani S. (A),
- 56', Stepanov A. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 3, Nejasmic D. ⚽,
- 59', Sandler P. ↓, Fonville D. ↑,
- 59', Nejasmic D. ↓, El Kachati Y. ↑,
- 60', Ouaissa S. ↓, Danilo Pereira ↑,
- 62', Karlsson J. 🟨,
- 73', Lebreton N. ↓, Ogawa K. ↑,
- 82', Linssen B. ↓, Willumsson W. T. ↑,
- 82', Alarcon A. ↓, van der Hoorn M. ↑,
- 89', Kaplan A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Engwanda A. ↓, Agougil O. ↑,
- 90+2', Cathline Y. ↓, Blake A. ↑,
Chances of winning
NEC Nijmegen
55% | Draw
24.4% | Utrecht
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in NEC Nijmegen's performance.Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Utrecht might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with NEC Nijmegen that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Utrecht could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
NEC Nijmegen - Utrecht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(2.05) |
3.91 ↑
(3.78) |
4.6 ↑
(3.27) |
4.6%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - Utrecht?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Nijmegen (1.87) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Nijmegen (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
NEC Nijmegen will win
(33 of 37 users predict this - 89.19%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.18% – 99.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): NEC Nijmegen will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Nijmegen (votes: 9 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Postponed due to bad weather.
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 2.
- Nijmegen is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Utrecht's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Nijmegen could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Nijmegen: El Kachati Y.
(Wrist Injury)
Entius F.
(Knee Injury)
Linssen B.
(Yellow Cards)
Nuytinck B.
(Knee Injury)
Ouaissa S.
(Red Card)
Ouwejan T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Utrecht: Haller S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Iqbal Z.
(Inactive)
Min D.
(Injury)
van den Berg D.
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against Utrecht?
NEC Nijmegen has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Utrecht won against NEC Nijmegen?
Utrecht has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - Utrecht were as follows:
02.11.2025
Utrecht
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:0
15.03.2025
Utrecht
-
NEC Nijmegen
0:1
24.11.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Utrecht
1:2
17.03.2024
Utrecht
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:0
23.09.2023
NEC Nijmegen
-
Utrecht
3:0
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Latest results of Utrecht
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 73:30 | 43 | 65 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 25 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 55:35 | 20 | 48 |
| 3 | Ajax | 25 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 44 |
| 4 | Nijmegen | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 61:43 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Twente | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 41:26 | 15 | 41 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 42:40 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 32:42 | -10 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 38:31 | 7 | 34 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 42:43 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Sittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 39:45 | -6 | 32 |
| 11 | Groningen | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 33:35 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 38:39 | -1 | 29 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 28 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 27 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 26:42 | -16 | 26 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 25:39 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 31:41 | -10 | 21 |
| 18 | Heracles | 25 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 32:65 | -33 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
