Result
0:1
25/01/2026 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 20
- Referee: Blank E. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.59 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (401/491) | 76% (277/366) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (401/491) | 76% (277/366) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (19/44) | 47% (35/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (85/124) | 59% (53/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (7/27) | 25% (1/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.50 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 38% (5/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | 1.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Mito S. ⚽, van Bergen M. (A),
- 13', Eerdhuijzen M. ↓, Viergever N. ↑,
- 28', Martins Indi B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Baas J. ↓, Clement P. ↑,
- 46', Engwanda A. ↓, Zechiel G. ↑,
- 47', Martes L. 🟨,
- 62', Young M. 🟨,
- 62', Karlsson J. ↓, Blake A. ↑,
- 81', Kitolano J. ↓, Roaldsoy A. ↑,
- 81', Martes L. ↓, Sambo S. ↑,
- 81', Santos A. ↓, Toornstra J. ↑,
- 82', Viergever N. ↓, Agougil O. ↑,
- 82', Horemans S. ↓, Vesterlund N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Utrecht
47.1% | Draw
27% | Sparta Rotterdam
25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Utrecht's form might have worsened.Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sparta Rotterdam's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Utrecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sparta Rotterdam, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Utrecht - Sparta Rotterdam Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↑
(1.75) |
3.51 ↓
(3.57) |
3.64 ↓
(4.57) |
5.5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Utrecht - Sparta Rotterdam?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Utrecht will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%). Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Utrecht: 38.6% – 78%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- AH -0.75 - Sparta Rotterdam (1.60) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Sparta Rotterdam (1.81) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 2 - 25%). Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 6 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 2.
- Utrecht is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sparta Rotterdam is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Sparta Rotterdam may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Utrecht could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Utrecht: Min D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: van Crooij V.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Utrecht: Haller S.
(Injury)
Iqbal Z.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 43:17. (average 2.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Utrecht won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:9. (average 2.2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Utrecht won against Sparta Rotterdam?
Utrecht has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sparta Rotterdam won against Utrecht?
Sparta Rotterdam has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Utrecht - Sparta Rotterdam were as follows:
17.08.2025
Sparta Rotterdam
-
Utrecht
2:1
14.05.2025
Utrecht
-
Sparta Rotterdam
1:1
03.11.2024
Sparta Rotterdam
-
Utrecht
1:4
23.05.2024
Utrecht
-
Sparta Rotterdam
3:1
12.05.2024
Utrecht
-
Sparta Rotterdam
0:1
Latest results of Utrecht
Latest results of Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 70:29 | 41 | 62 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 55:33 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 59:40 | 19 | 43 |
| 4 | Ajax | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:38 | 4 | 39 |
| 6 | Twente | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:40 | -9 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 36:31 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Groningen | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Sittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36:43 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Heracles | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 31:62 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
