Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/01/2026 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadion Galgenwaard (Utrecht).

Eredivisie - Round 20
Referee: Blank E. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.40	0.59
Ball possession
58%	42%
Total shots
22	5
Shots on target
5	3
Big chances
4	1
Corner kicks
10	0
Passes
82% (401/491)	76% (277/366)
Yellow cards
0	3
Expected goals (xG)
1.40	0.59
xG on target (xGOT)
1.34	1.16
Total shots
22	5
Shots on target
5	3
Shots off target
12	1
Blocked shots
5	1
Shots inside the box
13	3
Shots outside the box
9	2
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
4	1
Corner kicks
10	0
Touches in opposition box
36	9
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	0
Free kicks
14	11
Passes
82% (401/491)	76% (277/366)
Long passes
43% (19/44)	47% (35/74)
Passes in final third
69% (85/124)	59% (53/90)
Crosses
26% (7/27)	25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.72	0.50
Throw ins
27	14
Fouls
11	14
Tackles
67% (8/12)	38% (5/13)
Duels won
44	41
Clearances
11	35
Interceptions
6	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	6
xGOT faced
1.16	1.34
Goals prevented
0.16	1.34

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Mito S. ⚽, van Bergen M. (A),
13', Eerdhuijzen M. ↓, Viergever N. ↑,
28', Martins Indi B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Baas J. ↓, Clement P. ↑,
46', Engwanda A. ↓, Zechiel G. ↑,
47', Martes L. 🟨,
62', Young M. 🟨,
62', Karlsson J. ↓, Blake A. ↑,
81', Kitolano J. ↓, Roaldsoy A. ↑,
81', Martes L. ↓, Sambo S. ↑,
81', Santos A. ↓, Toornstra J. ↑,
82', Viergever N. ↓, Agougil O. ↑,
82', Horemans S. ↓, Vesterlund N. ↑,

Chances of winning

Utrecht
47.1%

Draw
27%

Sparta Rotterdam
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

26.2%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

27.8%

19.3%

Utrecht - Sparta Rotterdam Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.75)	3.51 ↓ (3.57)	3.64 ↓ (4.57)	5.5% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Utrecht - Sparta Rotterdam?

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Utrecht will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%). Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Utrecht: 38.6% – 78%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH -0.75 - Sparta Rotterdam (1.60) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Sparta Rotterdam (1.81) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 2 - 25%). Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 6 - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 2.
Utrecht is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Sparta Rotterdam is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Sparta Rotterdam may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Utrecht could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Utrecht: Min D. (Injury)
There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: van Crooij V. (Injury)
There are questionable in Utrecht: Haller S. (Injury) Iqbal Z. (Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 43:17. (average 2.2:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Utrecht won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:9. (average 2.2:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Utrecht won against Sparta Rotterdam?

Utrecht has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sparta Rotterdam won against Utrecht?

Sparta Rotterdam has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Utrecht - Sparta Rotterdam were as follows:

17.08.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Utrecht 2:1

14.05.2025 Utrecht - Sparta Rotterdam 1:1

03.11.2024 Sparta Rotterdam - Utrecht 1:4

23.05.2024 Utrecht - Sparta Rotterdam 3:1

12.05.2024 Utrecht - Sparta Rotterdam 0:1

Latest results of Utrecht

22.01.2026 Utrecht - Genk 0:2 ✺

18.01.2026 Volendam - Utrecht 2:1 ✺

13.01.2026 Utrecht - Twente 1:2 ✺

21.12.2025 Utrecht - PSV Eindhoven 1:2 ✺

17.12.2025 FC Oss - Utrecht 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Sparta Rotterdam

18.01.2026 Feyenoord - Sparta Rotterdam 3:4 ✺

15.01.2026 Sparta Rotterdam - Volendam 1:2 ✺

11.01.2026 Sparta Rotterdam - Heracles Almelo 2:0 ✺

21.12.2025 Volendam - Sparta Rotterdam 0:1 ✺

18.12.2025 Willem II - Sparta Rotterdam 1:5 ✺

Dutch Eredivisie Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	PSV	21	18	2	1	64:25	39	56
2	Feyenoord	21	12	3	6	51:32	19	39
3	Nijmegen	20	11	5	4	52:34	18	38
4	Ajax	21	10	8	3	41:28	13	38
5	Sparta Rotterdam	21	11	2	8	27:34	-7	35
6	AZ Alkmaar	21	9	5	7	36:35	1	32
7	Twente	21	7	10	4	31:24	7	31
8	Groningen	21	9	4	8	28:26	2	31
9	Zwolle	21	7	5	9	30:43	-13	26
10	Heerenveen	20	6	7	7	32:31	1	25
11	Sittard	21	7	4	10	31:36	-5	25
12	Utrecht	20	6	6	8	30:27	3	24
13	Excelsior	21	6	5	10	22:37	-15	23
14	G.A. Eagles	20	4	10	6	31:34	-3	22
15	FC Volendam	21	4	6	11	22:36	-14	18
16	Heracles	21	5	2	14	30:53	-23	17
17	NAC Breda	21	3	7	11	23:34	-11	16
18	Telstar	21	3	7	11	25:37	-12	16

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
      Eredivisie (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie