Utrera vs Cabecense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10 Utrera - Cabecense
Result
2:3
23/03/2024 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 10 - ROUND 26

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Roman M. ,
  • 45', 2 - 0, Lopez V. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 57', Martinez R. 🟥,
  • 73', 2 - 1, Roman D. ,
  • 79', 2 - 2, ,
  • 88', 2 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Utrera
75.2%
Draw
16.6%
Cabecense
8.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.1% 20.2% 9.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5% 11.4% 17.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Utrera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Utrera's performance.
  • Cabecense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrera than the current prediction. (-35.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Utrera that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cabecense than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cabecense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Utrera - Cabecense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.21
    (1.3)
    5.44
    (4.5)
    11.1
    (9.4)
    10.4%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Utrera won 4.
    • Recent matches Utrera is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Cabecense has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Utrera is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Utrera won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Utrera won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.
    Latest results of Utrera
    09.03.2024 Ceuta B - Utrera 3:0
    03.03.2024 Utrera - Xerez CD 0:1
    24.02.2024 Córdoba B - Utrera 1:1
    18.02.2024 Utrera - Espeleño 3:1
    11.02.2024 Gerena - Utrera 2:2
    Latest results of Cabecense
    10.03.2024 Cabecense - Conil 1:4
    03.03.2024 Cartaya - Cabecense 1:0
    25.02.2024 Sevilla C - Cabecense 2:0
    17.02.2024 Cabecense - Ceuta B 1:3
    11.02.2024 Xerez CD - Cabecense 2:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2