Result
2:1
18/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 18
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 64', (Penalty Awarded),
- 70', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 76', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Utrera 22.6% | Draw 28.9% | Ciudad de Lucena 48.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Utrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Ciudad de Lucena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrera than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Lucena than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Utrera - Ciudad de Lucena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.05 ↑ (3.76) |
3.16 ↓ (3.23) |
1.88 ↓ (1.92) |
9.6% (9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrera won 1.
- Utrera has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ciudad de Lucena is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ciudad de Lucena is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Utrera won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Utrera won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Utrera won against Ciudad de Lucena?
Utrera has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ciudad de Lucena won against Utrera?
Ciudad de Lucena has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Utrera - Ciudad de Lucena were as follows:
07.09.2025
Ciudad de Lucena
-
Utrera
3:2
03.11.2024
Utrera
-
Ciudad de Lucena
2:0
04.02.2024
Utrera
-
Ciudad de Lucena
1:2
Latest results of Ciudad de Lucena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ciudad de Lucena | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 61:21 | 40 | 64 |
| 2 | Dos Hermanas | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 64:34 | 30 | 56 |
| 3 | Linense | 30 | 12 | 13 | 5 | 42:27 | 15 | 49 |
| 4 | Bollullos | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 49 |
| 5 | Atletico Central | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 48 |
| 6 | Cadiz CF B | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 44:32 | 12 | 48 |
| 7 | Conil | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 38:40 | -2 | 43 |
| 8 | San Roque | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 42 |
| 9 | Ceuta B | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 42 |
| 10 | Pozoblanco | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 37:39 | -2 | 41 |
| 11 | Chiclana | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:41 | -6 | 38 |
| 12 | Tomares UD | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 30:36 | -6 | 35 |
| 13 | Cordoba B | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 35:42 | -7 | 34 |
| 14 | CD Utrera | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 36:46 | -10 | 34 |
| 15 | Atl. Onubense | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 30:38 | -8 | 33 |
| 16 | Sevilla FC C | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 31:39 | -8 | 33 |
| 17 | Castilleja CF | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 26:56 | -30 | 26 |
| 18 | Coria C.F | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 20:51 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: )
Relegation