Utrera vs Ciudad de Lucena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
18/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 64', (Penalty Awarded),
  • 70', 1 - 1, ,
  • 76', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Utrera
22.6%
Draw
28.9%
Ciudad de Lucena
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.2% 28.3% 47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6% 27.6% 48.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Utrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Ciudad de Lucena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrera than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Lucena than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Utrera - Ciudad de Lucena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.05
    (3.76)
    3.16
    (3.23)
    1.88
    (1.92)
    9.6%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrera won 1.
    • Utrera has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ciudad de Lucena is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ciudad de Lucena is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Utrera won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Utrera won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Utrera - Ciudad de Lucena were as follows:
    07.09.2025 Ciudad de Lucena - Utrera 3:2
    03.11.2024 Utrera - Ciudad de Lucena 2:0
    04.02.2024 Utrera - Ciudad de Lucena 1:2
    Latest results of Utrera
    11.01.2026 Utrera - Bollullos 1:0
    04.01.2026 Sevilla C - Utrera 2:1
    21.12.2025 Utrera - Linense 3:3
    07.12.2025 Utrera - Pozoblanco 2:1
    Latest results of Ciudad de Lucena
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ciudad de Lucena24146443:172648
    2Linense231010336:211540
    3Dos Hermanas24124844:311340
    4Bollullos22116528:181039
    5Atletico Central24116728:24439
    6San Roque23108530:201038
    7Ceuta B23106727:27036
    8Cadiz CF B24106833:28536
    9Pozoblanco2398629:24535
    10Conil2497828:30-234
    11Chiclana2387828:32-431
    12Sevilla FC C23741224:30-625
    13Atl. Onubense23671023:29-625
    14Cordoba B23661128:34-624
    15Tomares UD23661120:30-1024
    16CD Utrera23641326:38-1222
    17Castilleja CF23471217:35-1819
    18Coria C.F23361415:39-2415

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