Result
2:1
18/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 18
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 64', (Penalty Awarded),
- 70', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 76', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Utrera
22.6% | Draw
28.9% | Ciudad de Lucena
48.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Utrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Ciudad de Lucena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrera than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Lucena than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Utrera - Ciudad de Lucena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.05 ↑
(3.76) |
3.16 ↓
(3.23) |
1.88 ↓
(1.92) |
9.6%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrera won 1.
- Utrera has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ciudad de Lucena is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ciudad de Lucena is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Utrera won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Utrera won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Utrera won against Ciudad de Lucena?
Utrera has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ciudad de Lucena won against Utrera?
Ciudad de Lucena has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Utrera - Ciudad de Lucena were as follows:
07.09.2025
Ciudad de Lucena
-
Utrera
3:2
03.11.2024
Utrera
-
Ciudad de Lucena
2:0
04.02.2024
Utrera
-
Ciudad de Lucena
1:2
Latest results of Ciudad de Lucena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ciudad de Lucena | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 52:20 | 32 | 55 |
| 2 | Dos Hermanas | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 54:32 | 22 | 49 |
| 3 | Linense | 27 | 11 | 12 | 4 | 40:24 | 16 | 45 |
| 4 | Bollullos | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 45 |
| 5 | Cadiz CF B | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 42:31 | 11 | 43 |
| 6 | San Roque | 27 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 36:28 | 8 | 41 |
| 7 | Atletico Central | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 41 |
| 8 | Conil | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 33:34 | -1 | 40 |
| 9 | Pozoblanco | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 35:32 | 3 | 39 |
| 10 | Ceuta B | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 38 |
| 11 | Chiclana | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | -4 | 36 |
| 12 | Atl. Onubense | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Sevilla FC C | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 30:35 | -5 | 31 |
| 14 | Cordoba B | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 31:37 | -6 | 28 |
| 15 | Tomares UD | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 24:34 | -10 | 28 |
| 16 | CD Utrera | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31:42 | -11 | 27 |
| 17 | Castilleja CF | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 20:52 | -32 | 19 |
| 18 | Coria C.F | 27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 17:45 | -28 | 16 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
