Montedio Yamagata vs V-Varen Nagasaki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

ND Soft Stadium Yamagata (Tendo).

J2 League - Round 21
Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
10	20
Shots on target
2	5
Corner Kicks
2	5
Passes
80% (386/481)	79% (296/375)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Total shots
10	20
Shots on target
2	5
Shots off target
8	15
Corner Kicks
2	5
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
9	18
Passes
80% (386/481)	79% (296/375)
Fouls
14	8
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
34', Abe T. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Yoneda S. ⚽, Juanma Delgado (A),
42', Konishi Y. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Fujimoto Y. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Fujimoto Y. ↓, Disaro A. S. ↑,
54', Juanma Delgado 🟨,
60', Kida R. ↓, Issaka Z. ↑,
60', Sakamoto K. ↓, Takahashi J. ↑,
61', Sawada T. ↓, Kasayanagi T. ↑,
61', Abe T. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
62', 1 - 2, Matheus Jesus ⚽, Kasayanagi T. (A),
73', Arai I. ↓, Teruyama H. ↑,
73', Kokubu S. ↓, Doi S. ↑,
83', Juanma Delgado ↓, Yamasaki R. ↑,
84', Masuyama A. ↓, Sekiguchi M. ↑,
84', Konishi Y. ↓, Nakamura R. ↑,
86', Kushibiki K. 🟨,
90+5', Yoneda S. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Montedio Yamagata
28.3%

Draw
25%

V-Varen Nagasaki
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

26.1%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

26%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montedio Yamagata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

V-Varen Nagasaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Montedio Yamagata - V-Varen Nagasaki Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (3.19)	3.67 ↑ (3.59)	2 ↓ (2.1)	8% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Montedio Yamagata - V-Varen Nagasaki?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for V-Varen Nagasaki: 11.9% – 76.9%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montedio Yamagata won 2.
Montedio Yamagata has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
V-Varen Nagasaki is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
V-Varen Nagasaki might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montedio Yamagata won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Montedio Yamagata won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.8:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Montedio Yamagata won against V-Varen Nagasaki?

Montedio Yamagata has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has V-Varen Nagasaki won against Montedio Yamagata?

V-Varen Nagasaki has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Montedio Yamagata - V-Varen Nagasaki were as follows:

11.05.2025 V-Varen Nagasaki - Montedio Yamagata 1:1

17.08.2024 Montedio Yamagata - V-Varen Nagasaki 4:2

03.04.2024 V-Varen Nagasaki - Montedio Yamagata 2:0

22.07.2023 Montedio Yamagata - V-Varen Nagasaki 5:1

25.03.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki - Montedio Yamagata 3:2

Latest results of Montedio Yamagata

22.06.2025 Blaublitz Akita - Montedio Yamagata 2:3 ✺

15.06.2025 Montedio Yamagata - Vegalta Sendai 3:4 ✺

11.06.2025 Montedio Yamagata - Kagoshima United 2:1 ✺

31.05.2025 Fujieda MYFC - Montedio Yamagata 2:1 ✺

25.05.2025 Montedio Yamagata - Ventforet Kofu 0:4 ✺

Latest results of V-Varen Nagasaki

22.06.2025 Roasso Kumamoto - V-Varen Nagasaki 1:3 ✺

15.06.2025 V-Varen Nagasaki - Omiya Ardija 3:3 ✺

31.05.2025 Mito HollyHock - V-Varen Nagasaki 3:0 ✺

25.05.2025 V-Varen Nagasaki - JEF United Chiba 1:0 ✺

18.05.2025 Oita Trinita - V-Varen Nagasaki 1:2 ✺

Japan J2 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Mito	23	14	6	3	36:17	19	48
2	Chiba	24	12	6	6	35:23	12	42
3	Vegalta Sendai	24	11	9	4	28:21	7	42
4	Omiya Ardija	24	11	8	5	34:21	13	41
5	Tokushima	24	11	8	5	24:13	11	41
6	V-Varen Nagasaki	24	10	9	5	39:35	4	39
7	Sagan Tosu	24	11	6	7	25:22	3	39
8	Iwata	24	11	5	8	37:32	5	38
9	Imabari	24	8	10	6	28:23	5	34
10	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	24	10	4	10	31:39	-8	34
11	Kofu	24	8	8	8	24:23	1	32
12	Fujieda MYFC	24	7	7	10	28:32	-4	28
13	Iwaki	24	6	9	9	30:34	-4	27
14	Oita Trinita	24	6	9	9	20:24	-4	27
15	Blaublitz	24	8	3	13	32:43	-11	27
16	Montedio Yamagata	24	7	5	12	34:36	-2	26
17	Toyama	24	5	7	12	19:29	-10	22
18	Kumamoto	23	5	6	12	26:36	-10	21
19	Renofa Yamaguchi	24	3	11	10	21:30	-9	20
20	Ehime	24	2	10	12	23:41	-18	16

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