Montedio Yamagata vs V-Varen Nagasaki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

ND Soft Stadium Yamagata (Tendo).

J2 League - Round 21
Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
10	20
Shots on target
2	5
Corner Kicks
2	5
Passes
80% (386/481)	79% (296/375)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Total shots
10	20
Shots on target
2	5
Shots off target
8	15
Corner Kicks
2	5
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
9	18
Passes
80% (386/481)	79% (296/375)
Fouls
14	8
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
34', Abe T. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Yoneda S. ⚽, Juanma Delgado (A),
42', Konishi Y. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Fujimoto Y. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Fujimoto Y. ↓, Disaro A. S. ↑,
54', Juanma Delgado 🟨,
60', Kida R. ↓, Issaka Z. ↑,
60', Sakamoto K. ↓, Takahashi J. ↑,
61', Sawada T. ↓, Kasayanagi T. ↑,
61', Abe T. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
62', 1 - 2, Matheus Jesus ⚽, Kasayanagi T. (A),
73', Arai I. ↓, Teruyama H. ↑,
73', Kokubu S. ↓, Doi S. ↑,
83', Juanma Delgado ↓, Yamasaki R. ↑,
84', Masuyama A. ↓, Sekiguchi M. ↑,
84', Konishi Y. ↓, Nakamura R. ↑,
86', Kushibiki K. 🟨,
90+5', Yoneda S. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Montedio Yamagata
28.3%

Draw
25%

V-Varen Nagasaki
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

26.1%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

26%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montedio Yamagata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

V-Varen Nagasaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Montedio Yamagata - V-Varen Nagasaki Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (3.19)	3.67 ↑ (3.59)	2 ↓ (2.1)	8% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Montedio Yamagata - V-Varen Nagasaki?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for V-Varen Nagasaki: 11.9% – 76.9%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montedio Yamagata won 2.
Montedio Yamagata has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
V-Varen Nagasaki is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
V-Varen Nagasaki might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montedio Yamagata won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Montedio Yamagata won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.8:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Montedio Yamagata won against V-Varen Nagasaki?

Montedio Yamagata has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has V-Varen Nagasaki won against Montedio Yamagata?

V-Varen Nagasaki has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Montedio Yamagata - V-Varen Nagasaki were as follows:

11.05.2025 V-Varen Nagasaki - Montedio Yamagata 1:1

17.08.2024 Montedio Yamagata - V-Varen Nagasaki 4:2

03.04.2024 V-Varen Nagasaki - Montedio Yamagata 2:0

22.07.2023 Montedio Yamagata - V-Varen Nagasaki 5:1

25.03.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki - Montedio Yamagata 3:2

Latest results of Montedio Yamagata

22.06.2025 Blaublitz Akita - Montedio Yamagata 2:3 ✺

15.06.2025 Montedio Yamagata - Vegalta Sendai 3:4 ✺

11.06.2025 Montedio Yamagata - Kagoshima United 2:1 ✺

31.05.2025 Fujieda MYFC - Montedio Yamagata 2:1 ✺

25.05.2025 Montedio Yamagata - Ventforet Kofu 0:4 ✺

Latest results of V-Varen Nagasaki

22.06.2025 Roasso Kumamoto - V-Varen Nagasaki 1:3 ✺

15.06.2025 V-Varen Nagasaki - Omiya Ardija 3:3 ✺

31.05.2025 Mito HollyHock - V-Varen Nagasaki 3:0 ✺

25.05.2025 V-Varen Nagasaki - JEF United Chiba 1:0 ✺

18.05.2025 Oita Trinita - V-Varen Nagasaki 1:2 ✺

Japan J2 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Mito	27	15	7	5	42:25	17	52
2	Chiba	27	14	6	7	37:24	13	48
3	V-Varen Nagasaki	27	13	9	5	44:37	7	48
4	Omiya Ardija	27	13	8	6	38:22	16	47
5	Tokushima	27	13	8	6	27:14	13	47
6	Vegalta Sendai	27	12	10	5	31:25	6	46
7	Iwata	27	13	5	9	43:36	7	44
8	Imabari	27	11	10	6	35:27	8	43
9	Sagan Tosu	27	12	7	8	29:26	3	43
10	Kofu	27	10	8	9	28:25	3	38
11	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	27	11	4	12	34:44	-10	37
12	Iwaki	27	8	9	10	37:36	1	33
13	Fujieda MYFC	27	8	8	11	33:35	-2	32
14	Blaublitz	27	9	4	14	35:45	-10	31
15	Montedio Yamagata	27	8	5	14	36:39	-3	29
16	Oita Trinita	27	6	10	11	22:32	-10	28
17	Kumamoto	27	7	6	14	32:42	-10	27
18	Toyama	27	5	8	14	22:35	-13	23
19	Renofa Yamaguchi	27	3	12	12	23:34	-11	21
20	Ehime	27	2	10	15	24:49	-25	16

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