Montedio Yamagata vs V-Varen Nagasaki: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J2 League Montedio Yamagata - V-Varen Nagasaki
28/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J2 League - Round 21
Montedio Yamagata - V-Varen Nagasaki - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1020
Shots on target
25
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
80% (386/481)79% (296/375)
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
1020
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
815
Corner Kicks
25
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
918
Passes
80% (386/481)79% (296/375)
Fouls
148
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 34', Abe T. 🟨,
  • 39', 0 - 1, Yoneda S. , Juanma Delgado (A),
  • 42', Konishi Y. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Fujimoto Y. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Fujimoto Y. , Disaro A. S. ,
  • 54', Juanma Delgado 🟨,
  • 60', Kida R. , Issaka Z. ,
  • 60', Sakamoto K. , Takahashi J. ,
  • 61', Sawada T. , Kasayanagi T. ,
  • 61', Abe T. , Matsumoto T. ,
  • 62', 1 - 2, Matheus Jesus , Kasayanagi T. (A),
  • 73', Arai I. , Teruyama H. ,
  • 73', Kokubu S. , Doi S. ,
  • 83', Juanma Delgado , Yamasaki R. ,
  • 84', Masuyama A. , Sekiguchi M. ,
  • 84', Konishi Y. , Nakamura R. ,
  • 86', Kushibiki K. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Yoneda S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Montedio Yamagata
28.3%
Draw
25%
V-Varen Nagasaki
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.4% 26.1% 44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3% 26% 44.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montedio Yamagata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • V-Varen Nagasaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Montedio Yamagata - V-Varen Nagasaki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.27
    (3.19)
    3.67
    (3.59)
    2
    (2.1)
    8%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Montedio Yamagata - V-Varen Nagasaki?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for V-Varen Nagasaki: 11.9%76.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montedio Yamagata won 2.
    • Montedio Yamagata has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • V-Varen Nagasaki is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • V-Varen Nagasaki might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montedio Yamagata won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montedio Yamagata won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montedio Yamagata - V-Varen Nagasaki were as follows:
    11.05.2025 V-Varen Nagasaki - Montedio Yamagata 1:1
    17.08.2024 Montedio Yamagata - V-Varen Nagasaki 4:2
    03.04.2024 V-Varen Nagasaki - Montedio Yamagata 2:0
    22.07.2023 Montedio Yamagata - V-Varen Nagasaki 5:1
    25.03.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki - Montedio Yamagata 3:2
    Latest results of Montedio Yamagata
    Latest results of V-Varen Nagasaki
    Japan J2 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mito23146336:171948
    2Chiba23125633:211241
    3Vegalta Sendai23118428:21741
    4Sagan Tosu23116625:21439
    5Omiya Ardija23108532:211138
    6Tokushima23108523:131038
    7Iwata23115736:28838
    8V-Varen Nagasaki23108539:35438
    9Kofu2388723:20332
    10Imabari23710627:23431
    11Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo23941030:39-931
    12Oita Trinita2369820:23-327
    13Fujieda MYFC23761026:30-427
    14Iwaki2368928:32-426
    15Blaublitz23731328:42-1424
    16Montedio Yamagata23651231:35-423
    17Toyama23571119:27-822
    18Kumamoto23561226:36-1021
    19Renofa Yamaguchi233101019:28-919
    20Ehime232101123:40-1716

          Promotion ~ J1 League
          Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
          Relegation ~ J3 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Montedio Yamagata - V-Varen Nagasaki?
    It is being streamed on channel
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
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