Roasso Kumamoto vs V-Varen Nagasaki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J2 League Roasso Kumamoto - V-Varen Nagasaki
Result
1:3
22/06/2025 at 00:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J2 League - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1420
Shots on target
39
Corner Kicks
913
Passes
86% (373/434)72% (249/346)
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
1420
Shots on target
39
Shots off target
1111
Corner Kicks
913
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
86% (373/434)72% (249/346)
Fouls
1010
Goalkeeper Saves
62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Sawada T. , Yoneda S. (A),
  • 30', 0 - 2, Juanma Delgado , Matheus Jesus (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Handai M. , Kumashiro K. ,
  • 61', Iwashita W. 🟨,
  • 63', Sawada T. , Matsuzawa K. ,
  • 63', Masuyama A. , Sekiguchi M. ,
  • 63', Toyoda A. , Abe K. ,
  • 63', Matsuoka R. , Konagaya C. ,
  • 73', Juanma Delgado , Marcos Guilherme ,
  • 77', Fujii K. , Takemoto Y. ,
  • 80', Kushibiki K. , Teruyama H. ,
  • 80', Yoneda S. , Kasayanagi T. ,
  • 81', Mishima S. , Kuroki K. ,
  • 82', Sekiguchi M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 1 - 2, Konagaya C. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 3, Marcos Guilherme , Matheus Jesus (A),

Chances of winning


Roasso Kumamoto
30.2%
Draw
26.4%
V-Varen Nagasaki
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.4% 27% 41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 26.1% 43%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roasso Kumamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • V-Varen Nagasaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Roasso Kumamoto - V-Varen Nagasaki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.02
    (2.98)
    3.47
    (3.47)
    2.13
    (2.25)
    8.9%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Roasso Kumamoto - V-Varen Nagasaki?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Kumamoto will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kumamoto won 0.
    • Kumamoto is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • V-Varen Nagasaki has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Kumamoto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Kumamoto has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Kumamoto won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kumamoto won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Roasso Kumamoto - V-Varen Nagasaki were as follows:
    15.02.2025 V-Varen Nagasaki - Roasso Kumamoto 3:2
    06.07.2024 V-Varen Nagasaki - Roasso Kumamoto 2:0
    07.04.2024 Roasso Kumamoto - V-Varen Nagasaki 3:4
    29.07.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki - Roasso Kumamoto 4:1
    19.03.2023 Roasso Kumamoto - V-Varen Nagasaki 0:2
    Latest results of Roasso Kumamoto
    Latest results of V-Varen Nagasaki
    Japan J2 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mito341810651:302164
    2V-Varen Nagasaki341712556:411563
    3Chiba34178944:311359
    4Vegalta Sendai341513643:321158
    5Tokushima34169938:211757
    6Omiya Ardija34169950:341657
    7Sagan Tosu341681044:38656
    8Iwata341661252:47554
    9Iwaki3413101151:411049
    10Imabari341213941:36549
    11Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo341441641:56-1546
    12Montedio Yamagata341271550:49143
    13Kofu3411101336:39-343
    14Blaublitz341091540:50-1039
    15Oita Trinita348141225:36-1138
    16Fujieda MYFC349101538:44-637
    17Kumamoto34981740:53-1335
    18Renofa Yamaguchi345141531:43-1229
    19Toyama34691925:46-2127
    20Ehime343112033:62-2920

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