Vaasan Sport U20 vs Kärpät U20 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2 penalties
13/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SM-sarja U20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 00:32, 1 - 0, Ekman T. (G), Flugins K. (A), Lassander J. (A2)
  • 08:50, 1 - 1, Blazek V. (G), Vierimaa W. (A),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 1)
  • 10:54, 1 - 2, Peipinen H. (G), Martinmaki K. (A), Vierimaa W. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 06:57, 2 - 2, Ekman T. (Penalty Shot),
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (3 - 1)
  • 1, Jurvelin L. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, Lassander J. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Jung S. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Andrey T. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Salovaara E. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Mourujarvi E. (Penalty Shot),
  • 4, Viita F. (Penalty Shot),
  • 4, Flugins K. (Penalty Shot),

Chances of winning


Vaasan Sport U20
29.6%
Draw
21.9%
Kärpät U20
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.7% 23.1% 44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35% 24.7% 41.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vaasan Sport U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Kärpät U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaasan Sport U20 than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vaasan Sport U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät U20 than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kärpät U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Vaasan Sport U20 - Kärpät U20 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.02
    (2.81)
    4.08
    (3.99)
    1.84
    (2.08)
    11.9%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vaasan Sport U20 won 2.
    • Vaasan Sport U20 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Kärpät U20 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Kärpät U20 will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vaasan Sport U20 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 47:86. (average 2.4:4.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vaasan Sport U20 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:33. (average 2.4:3.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vaasan Sport U20 - Kärpät U20 were as follows:
    07.12.2025 Vaasan Sport U20 - Kärpät U20 4:2
    25.10.2025 Kärpät U20 - Vaasan Sport U20 3:1
    13.09.2025 Kärpät U20 - Vaasan Sport U20 2:3
    15.02.2025 Kärpät U20 - Vaasan Sport U20 6:3
    10.01.2025 Kärpät U20 - Vaasan Sport U20 4:2
    Latest results of Vaasan Sport U20
    Latest results of Kärpät U20
    24.01.2026 Tappara U20 - Kärpät U20 6:1
    23.01.2026 Ilves U20 - Kärpät U20 4:3
    16.01.2026 RoKi U20 - Kärpät U20 2:7
    10.01.2026 Kärpät U20 - SaiPa U20 5:2
    Finnish SM-sarja U20 Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ilves U20 ✔ 4026545177:9192
    2Pelicans Lahti U20 ✔ 3923529139:8581
    3Assat U2040213313128:9672
    4Jyvaskyla U2041195413121:11371
    5Jukurit U2040184414121:11366
    6Kiekko-Espoo U2039174513126:10264
    7Tappara U2039164613121:11462
    8Hameenlinna U2040172615129:11761
    9TPS U2041173417104:10761
    10Karpat U2040173317113:12660
    11KooKoo U2039128415102:10456
    12KalPa U2040145318149:14955
    13IFK Helsinki U2039152517118:12354
    14Jokerit U2039135417114:12553
    15Vaasan Sport U2039127218111:13152
    16Lukko U203914232091:11449
    17SaiPa U203983622104:17536
    18RoKi U20395242891:17423

          Promotion ~ SM~sarja U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ SM~sarja U20 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          SM~sarja U20 (Relegation)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ilves U20 is Qualified for SM~sarja U20 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Pelicans Lahti U20 is Qualified for SM~sarja U20 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)