Vaasan Sport vs Lukko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey Finnish SM-liiga Vaasan Sport - Lukko
Result
1:3
02/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liiga - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
swedenSwedenTV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.661.36
Shots on Goal
1321
Shots off target
1110
Shooting PCT
7.69% (1/13)14.29% (3/21)
Blocked Shots
84
Goalkeeper Saves
1812
Saves PCT
85.71% (18/21)92.31% (12/13)
Penalties
23
PIM
46
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/3)0% (0/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (2/2)100% (3/3)
Faceoffs Won
3226
Faceoffs %
55.1744.83
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 06:34, Almari N. (2 min),
  • 17:43, 0 - 1, Gelinas E. (G), Nousiainen K. (A), Westerholm Po. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 2)
  • 05:16, 0 - 2, Almari N. (G), Ikonen H. (A), Krannila J. (A2)
  • 08:43, Westerholm Pa. (2 min),
  • 16:53, 0 - 3, Jandric S. (G), Almari N. (A), Stenqvist J. (A2)
  • 16:53, Harkonen M. , Lebedeff D. ,
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 02:30, 1 - 3, Johnsson T. (G), Mattsson C. (A), Fonstad C. (A2)
  • 08:48, Johnsson T. (2 min),
  • 15:43, Piipponen S. (2 min),
  • 18:04, Ikonen H. (2 min),

Chances of winning


Vaasan Sport
29.3%
Draw
23.5%
Lukko
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24% 22.5% 53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7% 22.3% 54.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vaasan Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vaasan Sport's performance.
  • Lukko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lukko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vaasan Sport that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lukko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Vaasan Sport - Lukko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.26
    (3.92)
    4.01
    (4.17)
    1.99
    (1.76)
    6%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
  • Preview Facts
    • 4th leg. Lukko Rauman leads series 3-0.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Vaasa won 1.
    • Recent matches Vaasa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Lukko is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Lukko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Lukko will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Vaasa won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 41:51 (average 2.1:2.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Vaasa won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22:20 (average 2:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vaasan Sport - Lukko were as follows:
    31.03.2025 Lukko - Vaasan Sport 5:1
    27.03.2025 Vaasan Sport - Lukko 1:4
    26.03.2025 Lukko - Vaasan Sport 6:2
    22.02.2025 Vaasan Sport - Lukko 2:1
    11.12.2024 Lukko - Vaasan Sport 3:2
    Latest results of Vaasan Sport
    31.03.2025 Lukko - Vaasan Sport 5:1
    27.03.2025 Vaasan Sport - Lukko 1:4
    26.03.2025 Lukko - Vaasan Sport 6:2
    22.03.2025 Vaasan Sport - KooKoo 4:2
    21.03.2025 KooKoo - Vaasan Sport 1:2
    Latest results of Lukko
    31.03.2025 Lukko - Vaasan Sport 5:1
    27.03.2025 Vaasan Sport - Lukko 1:4
    26.03.2025 Lukko - Vaasan Sport 6:2
    15.03.2025 Lukko - HPK 6:1
    14.03.2025 TPS - Lukko 1:4
    Finnish SM-liiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Assat000000:00
    2Hameenlinna000000:00
    3IFK Helsinki000000:00
    4Ilves000000:00
    5JYP000000:00
    6KalPa000000:00
    7Lukko000000:00
    8Pelicans000000:00
    9SaiPa000000:00
    10Tappara000000:00
    11TPS Turku000000:00
    12Karpat000000:00
    13KooKoo000000:00
    14Vaasan Sport000000:00
    15Jukurit000000:00
    16Kiekko-Espoo000000:00

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