Result
6:1
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 2.32 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 22 | 32 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 27.27% (6/22) | 3.13% (1/32) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 31 | 16 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 96.88% (31/32) | 72.73% (16/22) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 100% (0/0) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 47.06 | 52.94 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 06:55, 1 - 0, Straka A. (G), Hjalmarsson S. (A), Granath P. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 03:24, Piipponen S. (2 min),
- 11:59, Aarnio A. (2 min),
- 15:59, 2 - 0, Hunt B. (G), Ekman T. (A), Piipponen S. (A2)
- 3rd Period (4 - 1)
- 01:57, 3 - 0, Straka A. (G), Aarnio A. (A), Granath P. (A2)
- 07:40, 4 - 0, Granath P. (G), Claesson L. (A), Hjalmarsson S. (A2)
- 08:31, 5 - 0, Hult O. (G), Hunt B. (A), Ekman T. (A2)
- 16:12, 5 - 1, Viitasalo N. (G), Saarela A. (A), Westerholm Pa. (A2)
- 18:52, 6 - 1, Hjalmarsson S. (G), Granath P. (A),
Chances of winning
Vaasan Sport
16.9% | Draw
18.4% | Lukko
64.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vaasan Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Lukko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Vaasan Sport - Lukko Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.57 ↑
(5.39) |
5.02 ↑
(4.89) |
1.44 ↓
(1.47) |
7.4%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 1.
- Vaasa has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Lukko has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Vaasa has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Lukko is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 44:50. (average 2.2:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vaasa won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:14. (average 2.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Vaasan Sport won against Lukko?
Vaasan Sport has won 9 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against Vaasan Sport?
Lukko has won 13 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vaasan Sport - Lukko were as follows:
26.12.2025
Lukko
-
Vaasan Sport
2:1
01.11.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
Lukko
2:1
31.10.2025
Lukko
-
Vaasan Sport
3:2
02.04.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
Lukko
1:3
31.03.2025
Lukko
-
Vaasan Sport
5:1
Latest results of Vaasan Sport
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
