Result
6:1
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 2.32 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 22 | 32 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 27.27% (6/22) | 3.13% (1/32) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 31 | 16 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 96.88% (31/32) | 72.73% (16/22) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 100% (0/0) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 47.06 | 52.94 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 06:55, 1 - 0, Straka A. (G), Hjalmarsson S. (A), Granath P. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 03:24, Piipponen S. (2 min),
- 11:59, Aarnio A. (2 min),
- 15:59, 2 - 0, Hunt B. (G), Ekman T. (A), Piipponen S. (A2)
- 3rd Period (4 - 1)
- 01:57, 3 - 0, Straka A. (G), Aarnio A. (A), Granath P. (A2)
- 07:40, 4 - 0, Granath P. (G), Claesson L. (A), Hjalmarsson S. (A2)
- 08:31, 5 - 0, Hult O. (G), Hunt B. (A), Ekman T. (A2)
- 16:12, 5 - 1, Viitasalo N. (G), Saarela A. (A), Westerholm Pa. (A2)
- 18:52, 6 - 1, Hjalmarsson S. (G), Granath P. (A),
Chances of winning
Vaasan Sport
16.9% | Draw
18.4% | Lukko
64.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vaasan Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Lukko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Vaasan Sport - Lukko Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.57 ↑
(5.39) |
5.02 ↑
(4.89) |
1.44 ↓
(1.47) |
7.4%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 1.
- Vaasa has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Lukko has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Vaasa has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Lukko is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 44:50. (average 2.2:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vaasa won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:14. (average 2.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Vaasan Sport won against Lukko?
Vaasan Sport has won 9 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against Vaasan Sport?
Lukko has won 13 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vaasan Sport - Lukko were as follows:
26.12.2025
Lukko
-
Vaasan Sport
2:1
01.11.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
Lukko
2:1
31.10.2025
Lukko
-
Vaasan Sport
3:2
02.04.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
Lukko
1:3
31.03.2025
Lukko
-
Vaasan Sport
5:1
Latest results of Vaasan Sport
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara ✔ | 57 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 214:138 | 113 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 58 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 197:154 | 109 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 57 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 201:148 | 106 |
| 4 | JYP | 57 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 191:164 | 103 |
| 5 | Ilves | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 175:144 | 101 |
| 6 | Lukko | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 173:145 | 101 |
| 7 | KalPa | 58 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 174:170 | 100 |
| 8 | Assat ✔ | 57 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 155:156 | 88 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo ✔ | 58 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 147:155 | 84 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 57 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 130:149 | 80 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 57 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 137:178 | 79 |
| 12 | Hameenlinna | 57 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 138:158 | 72 |
| 13 | TPS Turku | 57 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 134:162 | 71 |
| 14 | Jukurit | 57 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 127:156 | 64 |
| 15 | Karpat | 57 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 167:188 | 63 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 58 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 107:202 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Assat is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
