Result
2:1 OT
26/12/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.87 | 0.57 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 37 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 5.41% (2/37) | 9.09% (1/11) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 10 | 35 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 90.91% (10/11) | 94.59% (35/37) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 100% (1/1) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 17 | 28 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 37.78 | 62.22 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 08:09, Straka A. (2 min),
- 08:51, Ruohomaa M. (2 min),
- 16:51, 1 - 0, Trakht D. (G), Ikonen H. (A), Almari N. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 19:53, 1 - 1, Hjalmarsson S. (G), Koivisto M. (A), Granath P. (A2)
- Overtime (1 - 0)
- 04:34, 2 - 1, Beaucage A. (G), Almari N. (A), Ruohomaa M. (A2)
Chances of winning
Lukko
73.3% | Draw
14.7% | Vaasan Sport
12% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Lukko - Vaasan Sport Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.28 ↓
(1.5) |
6.39 ↑
(4.91) |
7.79 ↑
(5.32) |
6.5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for Lukko - Vaasan Sport?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Lukko will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lukko: 68.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lukko (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 4.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Lukko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lukko is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Lukko will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 51:44. (average 2.6:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lukko won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 34:21. (average 3.8:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against Vaasan Sport?
Lukko has won 12 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vaasan Sport won against Lukko?
Vaasan Sport has won 9 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lukko - Vaasan Sport were as follows:
01.11.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
Lukko
2:1
31.10.2025
Lukko
-
Vaasan Sport
3:2
02.04.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
Lukko
1:3
31.03.2025
Lukko
-
Vaasan Sport
5:1
27.03.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
Lukko
1:4
Latest results of Vaasan Sport
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 36 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 128:84 | 72 |
| 2 | Lukko | 36 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 112:90 | 66 |
| 3 | JYP | 34 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 128:99 | 66 |
| 4 | SaiPa | 37 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 125:102 | 65 |
| 5 | KooKoo | 36 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 12 | 125:97 | 63 |
| 6 | Ilves | 36 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 114:98 | 63 |
| 7 | Assat | 36 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 106:89 | 62 |
| 8 | KalPa | 35 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 107:114 | 56 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 37 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 97:111 | 50 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 37 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 86:102 | 48 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 36 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 83:115 | 47 |
| 12 | Jukurit | 36 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 82:96 | 46 |
| 13 | Pelicans | 35 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 69:88 | 45 |
| 14 | Karpat | 37 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 115:124 | 42 |
| 15 | Hameenlinna | 38 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 91:113 | 42 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 36 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 73:119 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
