Pelicans vs Vaasan Sport – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2 penalties
27/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liiga
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.781.63
Shots on Goal
4516
Shots off target
206
Shooting PCT
4.44% (2/45)12.5% (2/16)
Blocked shots
113
Goalkeeper Saves
1443
Saves PCT
87.5% (14/16)95.56% (43/45)
Penalties
04
PIM
029
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
25% (1/4)0% (0/0)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (0/0)75% (3/4)
Faceoffs Won
3827
Faceoffs %
58.4641.54
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 0)
  • 11:59, 1 - 0, Kayhko O. (G), Jordan M. (A), Hirvonen K. (A2)
  • 18:24, Hunt B. (2 min),
  • 19:28, 2 - 0, Batna O. (G), Dudas A. (A), Karvinen R. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 2)
  • 07:44, 2 - 1, Tiihonen M. (G),
  • 09:03, Hunt B. (2 min),
  • 13:58, 2 - 2, Immonen V. (G), Keinanen J. (A), Hakkila H. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 0)
  • 04:21, Piipponen S. (5 min),
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (2 - 0)
  • 1, Karvinen R. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, Hakkila H. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Zetterberg L. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Harkimo D. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Kumpula J. (Penalty Shot),

Chances of winning


Pelicans
76.9%
Draw
13.8%
Vaasan Sport
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.8% 18.1% 14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4% 19.7% 15.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pelicans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pelicans's performance.
  • Vaasan Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (-14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pelicans that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vaasan Sport could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pelicans - Vaasan Sport Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.22
    (1.38)
    6.73
    (5.16)
    9.82
    (6.66)
    7%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
    What is the prediction for Pelicans - Vaasan Sport?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pelicans will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pelicans (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -2.5, OT - Pelicans (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pelicans (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 4.
    • Pelicans has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Vaasa is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Pelicans has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Pelicans is the clear favorite.
    • We predict that Pelicans will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 47:42. (average 2.4:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pelicans won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 2.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pelicans - Vaasan Sport were as follows:
    24.01.2026 Vaasan Sport - Pelicans 2:3
    11.12.2025 Vaasan Sport - Pelicans 0:4
    05.12.2025 Pelicans - Vaasan Sport 3:0
    28.02.2025 Pelicans - Vaasan Sport 5:0
    28.12.2024 Vaasan Sport - Pelicans 3:2
    Latest results of Pelicans
    25.02.2026 Pelicans - Ilves 2:1
    20.02.2026 Pelicans - Tappara 4:3
    17.02.2026 Pelicans - Kärpät 0:5
    14.02.2026 JYP - Pelicans 3:2
    13.02.2026 Pelicans - JYP 9:2
    Latest results of Vaasan Sport
    25.02.2026 Vaasan Sport - KooKoo 3:4
    21.02.2026 Ässät - Vaasan Sport 4:1
    17.02.2026 Vaasan Sport - HPK 0:4
    14.02.2026 Vaasan Sport - TPS 1:4
    13.02.2026 TPS - Vaasan Sport 3:1
    Finnish SM-liiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Tappara ✔ 57343515214:138113
    2SaiPa58306715197:154109
    3KooKoo57307218201:148106
    4JYP572511615191:164103
    5Ilves57278418175:144101
    6Lukko57278418173:145101
    7KalPa58277519174:170100
    8Assat ✔ 57246423155:15688
    9Kiekko-Espoo ✔ 592251121154:15587
    10Pelicans57198723130:14980
    11IFK Helsinki57224526137:17879
    12Hameenlinna57168825138:15872
    13TPS Turku57167925134:16271
    14Jukurit57156729127:15664
    15Karpat57156630167:18863
    16Vaasan Sport59911138107:20940

          Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Assat is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)