Result
3:0
11/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 1.80 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 36 | 15 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 8.33% (3/36) | 0% (0/15) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 15 | 33 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 100% (15/15) | 91.67% (33/36) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (1/3) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 66.67% (2/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 29 | 21 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 58 | 42 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 05:07, Nassen L. (2 min),
- 18:19, 1 - 0, Yliniemi S. (G), Binner A. (A), Pikkarainen K. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 07:28, Hakkila H. (2 min),
- 16:02, Hunt B. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 05:21, 2 - 0, Maatta J. (G), Saarela A. (A), Binner A. (A2)
- 10:39, Hietanen V. (2 min),
- 11:29, 3 - 0, Saarela A. (G), Binner A. (A), Wernblom L. (A2)
Chances of winning
TPS
76.3% | Draw
14.5% | Vaasan Sport
9.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in TPS's performance.Vaasan Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with TPS that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
TPS - Vaasan Sport Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.23 ↓
(1.32) |
6.32 ↑
(5.12) |
10 ↑
(8.4) |
7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 4.
- TPS is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vaasa is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Vaasa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- In this match, TPS is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TPS won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 51:43. (average 2.6:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 2.2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against Vaasan Sport?
TPS has won 13 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vaasan Sport won against TPS?
Vaasan Sport has won 7 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between TPS - Vaasan Sport were as follows:
14.02.2026
Vaasan Sport
-
TPS
1:4
13.02.2026
TPS
-
Vaasan Sport
3:1
22.11.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
TPS
3:1
22.10.2025
TPS
-
Vaasan Sport
3:2
12.09.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
TPS
2:3
Latest results of Vaasan Sport
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara ✔ | 57 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 214:138 | 113 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 58 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 197:154 | 109 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 57 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 201:148 | 106 |
| 4 | JYP | 57 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 191:164 | 103 |
| 5 | Ilves | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 175:144 | 101 |
| 6 | Lukko | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 173:145 | 101 |
| 7 | KalPa | 58 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 174:170 | 100 |
| 8 | Assat ✔ | 57 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 155:156 | 88 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo ✔ | 58 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 147:155 | 84 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 57 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 130:149 | 80 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 57 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 137:178 | 79 |
| 12 | Hameenlinna | 57 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 138:158 | 72 |
| 13 | TPS Turku | 57 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 134:162 | 71 |
| 14 | Jukurit | 57 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 127:156 | 64 |
| 15 | Karpat | 57 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 167:188 | 63 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 58 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 107:202 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Assat is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
