Result
2:3
12/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 4.85 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 22 | 28 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 9.09% (2/22) | 10.71% (3/28) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 89.29% (25/28) | 90.91% (20/22) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 14.29% (1/7) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 85.71% (6/7) | 80% (4/5) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 30 | 28 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 51.72 | 48.28 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 03:58, 1 - 0, Stalberg S. (G), Hjalmarsson S. (A), Claesson L. (A2)
- 10:39, Claesson L. (2 min),
- 12:09, Straka A. (2 min),
- 12:28, 1 - 1, Pakkila E. (G), Saarela A. (A), Koivu A. (A2)
- 16:06, Hietanen V. (2 min),
- 19:37, Ylitalo N. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 2)
- 05:01, Piipponen S. (2 min),
- 08:56, Rafkin R. (2 min),
- 09:20, 2 - 1, Stalberg S. (G), Nieminen V. (A), Koivisto M. (A2)
- 10:19, 2 - 2, Lehtonen S. (G), Teissala L. (A), Savinainen V. (A2)
- 12:11, Lauridsen O. (2 min),
- 12:51, Stalberg S. (2 min),
- 18:26, 2 - 3, Maatta J. (G), Pakkila E. (A), Pikkarainen K. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- 04:17, Piipponen S. (2 min),
- 04:43, Teissala L. (2 min),
- 09:38, Ylitalo N. (2 min),
- 11:49, Harma M. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Vaasan Sport
41.3% | Draw
24.5% | TPS
34.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vaasan Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Vaasan Sport - TPS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↓
(2.48) |
3.9 ↑
(3.48) |
2.87 ↑
(2.62) |
4%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
What is the prediction for Vaasan Sport - TPS?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 1.
- Vaasa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- TPS's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Vaasa has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 45:51. (average 2.3:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vaasa won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:27. (average 3.1:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Vaasan Sport won against TPS?
Vaasan Sport has won 6 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against Vaasan Sport?
TPS has won 9 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vaasan Sport - TPS were as follows:
01.08.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
TPS
0:2
08.03.2025
TPS
-
Vaasan Sport
3:2
07.03.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
TPS
3:4
07.12.2024
Vaasan Sport
-
TPS
4:5
05.12.2024
TPS
-
Vaasan Sport
3:4
Latest results of Vaasan Sport
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | TPS Turku | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 2 | Kiekko-Espoo | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21:16 | 14 |
| 3 | Assat | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 |
| 4 | Tappara | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 |
| 5 | JYP | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:14 | 12 |
| 6 | Lukko | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:19 | 9 |
| 7 | KooKoo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:22 | 8 |
| 8 | KalPa | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:25 | 8 |
| 9 | SaiPa | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19:20 | 7 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:16 | 7 |
| 11 | Vaasan Sport | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:15 | 6 |
| 12 | Karpat | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:18 | 6 |
| 13 | Jukurit | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:18 | 6 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:16 | 6 |
| 15 | Ilves | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:23 | 5 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14:23 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
