Result
1:4
14/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 3.65 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 21 | 38 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 4.76% (1/21) | 10.53% (4/38) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 34 | 20 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 91.89% (34/37) | 95.24% (20/21) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 50% (2/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 50% (1/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 42 | 31 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 57.53 | 42.47 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 09:21, Straka A. (2 min),
- 13:39, Sjoholm V. (2 min),
- 13:44, 1 - 0, Heikkinen I. (G), Levanen E. (A), Hjalmarsson S. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 2)
- 00:22, 1 - 1, Binner A. (G), Pakkila E. (A), Yliniemi S. (A2)
- 19:09, Straka A. (2 min),
- 19:54, 1 - 2, Wernblom L. (G), Saarela A. (A), Yliniemi S. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 07:29, Parssinen J. (2 min),
- 07:29, Harkonen M. (2 min),
- 09:54, Tiihonen M. (2 min),
- 11:00, 1 - 3, Yliniemi S. (G), Wernblom L. (A), Saarela A. (A2)
- 17:22, 1 - 4, Pakkila E. (G),
Chances of winning
Vaasan Sport
23.1% | Draw
22.4% | TPS
54.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vaasan Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Vaasan Sport - TPS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.06 ↓
(4.42) |
4.12 ↓
(4.4) |
1.71 ↑
(1.59) |
7.2%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
What is the prediction for Vaasan Sport - TPS?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Vaasa will win (votes: 1 - 25%). TPS will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 1.
- Vaasa has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- TPS has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- TPS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, TPS is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 43:49. (average 2.2:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vaasa won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:25. (average 3:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Vaasan Sport won against TPS?
Vaasan Sport has won 7 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against Vaasan Sport?
TPS has won 12 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vaasan Sport - TPS were as follows:
13.02.2026
TPS
-
Vaasan Sport
3:1
22.11.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
TPS
3:1
22.10.2025
TPS
-
Vaasan Sport
3:2
12.09.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
TPS
2:3
01.08.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
TPS
0:2
Latest results of Vaasan Sport
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
