Result
3:2
11/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group A - Round 19
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 39', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 52', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 69', 🟥,
- 80', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+3', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Vado 62% | Draw 23.7% | Asti 14.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vado's performance.Asti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Asti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vado than the current prediction. (-19.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vado that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Asti than the current prediction. (+17.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Asti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vado - Asti Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.47 ↓ (2.23) |
3.84 ↑ (3.43) |
6.36 ↑ (2.76) |
10% (10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vado won 2.
- Vado is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Asti's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Vado is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Vado won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vado won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Vado won against Asti?
Vado has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Asti won against Vado?
Asti has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vado - Asti were as follows:
14.09.2025
Asti
-
Vado
0:2
13.04.2025
Asti
-
Vado
1:1
01.12.2024
Vado
-
Asti
3:1
07.01.2024
Asti
-
Vado
0:0
10.09.2023
Vado
-
Asti
0:1
Italian Serie D - Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ligorna | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 52:22 | 30 | 63 |
| 2 | Vado | 28 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 54:19 | 35 | 62 |
| 3 | AS Biellese | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 40:23 | 17 | 49 |
| 4 | Sestri Levante | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 46:24 | 22 | 48 |
| 5 | Chisola | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 33:25 | 8 | 48 |
| 6 | Varese FC | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 37:37 | 0 | 46 |
| 7 | Saluzzo | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 46:38 | 8 | 41 |
| 8 | Sanremese | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 30:26 | 4 | 38 |
| 9 | Imperia | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 30:36 | -6 | 35 |
| 10 | Valenzana | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 25:39 | -14 | 35 |
| 11 | Cairese | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 23:30 | -7 | 33 |
| 12 | Derthona FbC | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 30:40 | -10 | 32 |
| 13 | Gozzano | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 31:36 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 | Club Milano | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 29 |
| 15 | Celle Varazze | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 32:46 | -14 | 28 |
| 16 | Asti | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 23:32 | -9 | 26 |
| 17 | Lavagnese | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 25:37 | -12 | 26 |
| 18 | NovaRomentin | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 21:52 | -31 | 20 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )
Relegation