Result
3:3
11/05/2025 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 34
- Referee: Jaussi J. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 2.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (331/424) | 76% (247/327) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 2.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 2.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (331/424) | 76% (247/327) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (27/67) | 41% (26/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (61/105) | 58% (57/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 55% (6/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.95 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.40 | 2.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.60 | -0.92 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Dantas Fernandes R. ⚽,
- 21', 2 - 0, Eberhard M. ⚽, Wieser S. (A),
- 27', 3 - 0, Cavegn F. ⚽,
- 29', Frith D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Dahler L. ↓, Balaruban A. ↑,
- 46', Meichtry F. ↓, Reichmuth N. ↑,
- 46', Frith D. ↓, Castroman M. ↑,
- 54', 3 - 1, Bertone L. (Pen),
- 60', Gasser C. 🟨,
- 63', Simani D. 🟨,
- 63', Wieser S. 🟨,
- 65', 3 - 2, Bertone L. (Pen),
- 67', Deme M. ↓, Kaio Eduardo ↑,
- 67', Wieser S. ↓, Hammerich M. ↑,
- 67', Eberhard M. ↓, Hasler N. ↑,
- 74', Gutbub M. ↓, Rastoder E. ↑,
- 77', Dantas Fernandes R. ↓, Navarro J. ↑,
- 83', Beeli M. ↓, Keckeisen N. ↑,
- 86', Montolio G. ↓, Tebily H. ↑,
- 88', 3 - 3, Rastoder E. ⚽,
- 90+3', Roth J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vaduz
28.2% | Draw
25.2% | Thun
46.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vaduz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Thun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaduz than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thun than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vaduz - Thun Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.28 ↓
(3.75) |
3.67 ↓
(3.75) |
1.99 ↑
(1.73) |
8.1%
(11.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Vaduz - Thun?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vaduz (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Thun is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Super League
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vaduz won 2.
- Vaduz has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Thun is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Thun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Thun is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Vaduz: Berisha L.
(Yellow Cards)
Emini L.
(Injury)
Mertens J.
(Injury)
Onyegbule A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Thun: Burki M.
(Inactive)
Matoshi V.
(Shoulder Injury)
Tebily H.
(Injury)
Tomas M.
(Arm Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vaduz won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 28:48. (average 1.4:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vaduz won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1.2:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Vaduz won against Thun?
Vaduz has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Thun won against Vaduz?
Thun has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vaduz - Thun were as follows:
24.01.2025
Thun
-
Vaduz
3:1
19.10.2024
Vaduz
-
Thun
2:0
28.07.2024
Thun
-
Vaduz
2:0
17.05.2024
Thun
-
Vaduz
6:3
01.04.2024
Vaduz
-
Thun
1:0
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bellinzona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Xamax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Etoile-Carouge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Stade Nyonnais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Aarau | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Vaduz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Wil | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Yverdon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Rapperswil-Jona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Lausanne Ouchy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
