Vadym Ursu vs Jay Clarke – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
28/11/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Islamabad, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
13
Double Faults
13
1st Serve Percentage
54%61%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (36/54)70% (42/60)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (23/46)47% (18/38)
Break Points Saved
29% (2/7)43% (3/7)
1st Return Points Won
32% (19/60)33% (18/54)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (20/38)50% (23/46)
Break Points Converted
57% (4/7)71% (5/7)
Service Points Won
59% (58/98)61% (59/97)
Return Points Won
39% (38/97)41% (40/98)
Total Points Won
49% (96/195)51% (99/195)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
69% (11/16)73% (11/15)
Return Games Won
27% (4/15)31% (5/16)
Total Games Won
48% (15/31)52% (16/31)

Chances of winning


Vadym Ursu
25%
Jay Clarke
75%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.4% 70.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7% 72.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vadym Ursu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Jay Clarke has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vadym Ursu than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Vadym Ursu - Jay Clarke Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.74
    (3.15)

    1.25
    (1.31)
    6.8%
    (8.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Ursu is ranked ATP: 446. Clarke is ranked ATP: 200.
    • In recent matches, Ursu has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Clarke is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Ursu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Clarke is a strong favorite.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Vadym Ursu
    Latest results of Jay Clarke
    26.11.2025 Dinko Dinev - Jay Clarke 1:2
    23.11.2025 Jay Clarke - Toby Samuel 1:2
    22.11.2025 Jay Clarke - Mathys Erhard 2:0
    21.11.2025 Jay Clarke - Radu Albot 2:1
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ymer E. (1)Bye
    2Brown P.Cazacu D. N.0 : 2
    3Aleshchev A. (Alt)Tanner G. L.0 : 2
    4Iftikhar S. (Q)Alkaya M. (6)0 : 2
    5Yevseyev D. (4)Gretskiy I. (Alt)2 : 0
    6Murtaza M. (WC)Khalil Y. (Q)2 : 1
    7Arcon A. (Alt)Nikles J.0 : 2
    8Ujvary M. (Alt)Borg L. (7)0 : 2
    9Palan D. (8)Horoz A.2 : 0
    10Borrelli L. (Alt)Bataljin L. (Alt)2 : 0
    11Stephens Z.Saritas G. (Alt)2 : 0
    12Bilozertsev N.Purtseladze S. (RET.) (3)1 : 0
    13Ursu V. (5)Shoaib M. (WC)2 : 1
    14Derepasko T.Kirci K. (Alt)2 : 0
    15Khan A. (WC)Dinev D. (Alt)1 : 2
    16ByeClarke J. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Ymer E. (1)Cazacu D. N.2 : 0
    2Tanner G. L.Alkaya M. (6)1 : 2
    3Yevseyev D. (4)Murtaza M.2 : 0
    4Nikles J.Borg L. (7)2 : 1
    5Palan D. (8)Borrelli L.2 : 0
    6Stephens Z.Bilozertsev N. (RET.)1 : 1
    7Ursu V. (5)Derepasko T.2 : 0
    8Dinev D.Clarke J. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ymer E. (1)Alkaya M. (6)1 : 2
    2Yevseyev D. (4)Nikles J.2 : 1
    3Palan D. (8)Stephens Z.0 : 2
    4Ursu V. (5)Clarke J. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Alkaya M. (6)Yevseyev D. (4)2 : 1
    2Stephens Z.Clarke J. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Alkaya M. (6)Clarke J. (2)0 : 2