Vadym Ursu vs Joel Schwaerzler – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
28/01/2026 at 03:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manama, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
23
Double Faults
44
1st serve percentage
77%55%
1st serve points won
61% (30/49)84% (31/37)
2nd serve points won
47% (7/15)47% (14/30)
Break Points Saved
40% (2/5)50% (2/4)
1st return points won
16% (6/37)39% (19/49)
2nd return points won
53% (16/30)53% (8/15)
Break Points Converted
50% (2/4)60% (3/5)
Winners
1513
Unforced errors
2930
Net points won
69% (11/16)82% (14/17)
Service Points Won
58% (37/64)67% (45/67)
Return Points Won
33% (22/67)42% (27/64)
Total Points Won
45% (59/131)55% (72/131)
Last 10 balls
19
Match points saved
00
Service games won
73% (8/11)82% (9/11)
Return games won
18% (2/11)27% (3/11)
Total games won
45% (10/22)55% (12/22)

Chances of winning


Vadym Ursu
33.9%
Joel Schwaerzler
66.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.3% 68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5% 70.5%

Vadym Ursu - Joel Schwaerzler Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.73
(2.98)

1.41
(1.36)
7.7%
(7.4%)
What is the prediction for Vadym Ursu - Joel Schwaerzler?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ursu will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Schwaerzler will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ursu (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Ursu (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ursu (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ursu is ranked ATP: 430. Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 245.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Ursu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Schwaerzler is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Vadym Ursu
    Latest results of Joel Schwaerzler
    20.01.2026 Joel Schwaerzler - Stefano Napolitano Napolitano S. retired
    07.01.2026 Joel Schwaerzler - Lorenzo Giustino Schwaerzler J. J. walkover
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sinclair C. (LL)Samuel T.0 : 2
    2Pankin S. (Q)Pieczkowski O.2 : 0
    3Homberg M. (Q)Ouakaa A. (Q)2 : 0
    4Blanch D.Fomin S. (8)1 : 2
    5Bar Biryukov P. (RET.) (3)Zakaria F.1 : 1
    6Bobichon M. (Q)Dzhavakian Y. (Alt)2 : 0
    7Ritschard A.Albot R.2 : 0
    8Berkieta T. (JR)Kellovsky D. (LL)0 : 2
    9Brunclik P. (6)Summers M. (LL)2 : 1
    10Naw H. (PR)Xilas I.0 : 2
    11Agafonov E.Basic M.0 : 2
    12Ehrenschneider N. (Alt)Erhard M. (4)0 : 2
    13Binda A. (9)Melnic V. (WC)1 : 2
    14Maguire C. (WC)Marrero Curbelo I. (Q)0 : 2
    15Niklas-Salminen P. (Q)Vasa E.0 : 2
    16Bakshi A.Simakin I. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Samuel T.Pankin S.2 : 0
    2Homberg M.Fomin S. (8)0 : 2
    3Zakaria F.Bobichon M.0 : 2
    4Ritschard A.Kellovsky D.2 : 1
    5Brunclik P. (6)Xilas I.2 : 0
    6Basic M.Erhard M. (4)2 : 0
    7Melnic V.Marrero Curbelo I.1 : 2
    8Vasa E.Simakin I. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Samuel T.Fomin S. (8)2 : 0
    2Bobichon M.Ritschard A.2 : 1
    3Brunclik P. (6)Basic M.2 : 0
    4Marrero Curbelo I.Simakin I. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Samuel T.Bobichon M.2 : 0
    2Brunclik P. (6)Simakin I. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Samuel T.Simakin I. (2)2 : 0