Vadym Ursu vs Juan Alejandro Hernandez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
26/01/2026 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manama - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
121
Double Faults
32
1st serve percentage
67%76%
1st serve points won
69% (37/54)63% (43/68)
2nd serve points won
41% (11/27)29% (6/21)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)50% (5/10)
1st return points won
37% (25/68)35% (19/54)
2nd return points won
71% (15/21)59% (16/27)
Break Points Converted
50% (5/10)50% (4/8)
Winners
4012
Unforced errors
5431
Net points won
60% (12/20)50% (3/6)
Service Points Won
59% (48/81)55% (49/89)
Return Points Won
45% (40/89)41% (33/81)
Total Points Won
52% (88/170)48% (82/170)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
00
Service games won
69% (9/13)58% (7/12)
Return games won
42% (5/12)31% (4/13)
Total games won
56% (14/25)44% (11/25)

Chances of winning


Vadym Ursu
44.4%
Juan Alejandro Hernandez
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 55.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vadym Ursu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vadym Ursu's form might have worsened.
  • Juan Alejandro Hernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juan Alejandro Hernandez's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vadym Ursu than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Alejandro Hernandez than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Vadym Ursu - Juan Alejandro Hernandez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (1.85)

    1.67
    (1.85)
    7.5%
    (8.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Ursu is ranked ATP: 430. Hernandez is ranked ATP: 415.
    • Ursu has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Hernandez's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ursu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Vadym Ursu
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sinclair C. (LL)Samuel T.0 : 2
    2Pankin S. (Q)Pieczkowski O.2 : 0
    3Homberg M. (Q)Ouakaa A. (Q)2 : 0
    4Blanch D.Fomin S. (8)1 : 2
    5Bar Biryukov P. (RET.) (3)Zakaria F.1 : 1
    6Bobichon M. (Q)Dzhavakian Y. (Alt)2 : 0
    7Ritschard A.Albot R.2 : 0
    8Berkieta T. (JR)Kellovsky D. (LL)0 : 2
    9Brunclik P. (6)Summers M. (LL)2 : 1
    10Naw H. (PR)Xilas I.0 : 2
    11Agafonov E.Basic M.0 : 2
    12Ehrenschneider N. (Alt)Erhard M. (4)0 : 2
    13Binda A. (9)Melnic V. (WC)1 : 2
    14Maguire C. (WC)Marrero Curbelo I. (Q)0 : 2
    15Niklas-Salminen P. (Q)Vasa E.0 : 2
    16Bakshi A.Simakin I. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Samuel T.Pankin S.2 : 0
    2Homberg M.Fomin S. (8)0 : 2
    3Zakaria F.Bobichon M.0 : 2
    4Ritschard A.Kellovsky D.2 : 1
    5Brunclik P. (6)Xilas I.2 : 0
    6Basic M.Erhard M. (4)2 : 0
    7Melnic V.Marrero Curbelo I.1 : 2
    8Vasa E.Simakin I. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Samuel T.Fomin S. (8)2 : 0
    2Bobichon M.Ritschard A.2 : 1
    3Brunclik P. (6)Basic M.2 : 0
    4Marrero Curbelo I.Simakin I. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Samuel T.Bobichon M.2 : 0
    2Brunclik P. (6)Simakin I. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Samuel T.Simakin I. (2)2 : 0