Vadym Ursu vs Luca Potenza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis St Tropez Challenger Men Vadym Ursu - Luca Potenza
Result
0:2
14/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: St. Tropez - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
142
Double Faults
81
1st Serve Percentage
65%74%
1st Serve Points Won
75% (44/59)68% (42/62)
2nd Serve Points Won
31% (10/32)55% (12/22)
Break Points Saved
67% (6/9)75% (6/8)
1st Return Points Won
32% (20/62)27% (16/59)
2nd Return Points Won
45% (10/22)69% (22/32)
Break Points Converted
25% (2/8)33% (3/9)
Service Points Won
58% (53/91)64% (54/84)
Return Points Won
36% (30/84)42% (38/91)
Total Points Won
47% (83/175)53% (92/175)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
73% (8/11)82% (9/11)
Return Games Won
18% (2/11)27% (3/11)
Total Games Won
45% (10/22)55% (12/22)

Chances of winning


Vadym Ursu
31.5%
Luca Potenza
68.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 64.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vadym Ursu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vadym Ursu's form might have worsened.
  • Luca Potenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Potenza's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vadym Ursu than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Potenza than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Vadym Ursu - Luca Potenza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.92
    (2.49)

    1.35
    (1.5)
    8.5%
    (6.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Ursu is ranked ATP: 502. Potenza is ranked ATP: 422.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Ursu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Potenza is the team to beat.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Vadym Ursu
    Latest results of Luca Potenza
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Landaluce M. (1)Bax F. (LL)2 : 0
    2Gombos N. (Alt)Gengel M. (Alt)1 : 2
    3Vacherot V.Bertrand R. (WC)1 : 2
    4Engel J.Wawrinka S. (5)0 : 2
    5Herbert P. (3)Kukushkin M.1 : 2
    6Paris T. (Q)Barrere G. (WC)2 : 1
    7Added D. (Alt)Jacquet K.2 : 0
    8Vatutin A. (Q)Mayot H. (6)0 : 2
    9Droguet T. (8)Potenza L. (Q)2 : 0
    10Malige M. (WC)Mmoh M. (PR)2 : 0
    11Pacheco Mendez R. (Q)Donnet E. (Q)2 : 1
    12Echargui M.Blanchet U. (4)2 : 0
    13Lajal M. (7)Gueymard Wayenburg S.2 : 0
    14Molcan A. (Alt)Geerts M. (LL)2 : 0
    15Hilderbrand T. (Q)Grenier H.0 : 2
    16Butvilas E. (Alt)Gigante M. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Landaluce M. (1)Gengel M. (RET.)1 : 0
    2Bertrand R.Wawrinka S. (5)0 : 2
    3Kukushkin M.Paris T.0 : 2
    4Added D.Mayot H. (6)2 : 1
    5Droguet T. (8)Malige M.2 : 1
    6Pacheco Mendez R.Echargui M.0 : 2
    7Lajal M. (7)Molcan A. (RET.)1 : 1
    8Grenier H.Butvilas E.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Landaluce M. (1)Wawrinka S. (5)0 : 2
    2Paris T.Added D.0 : 2
    3Droguet T. (8)Echargui M.0 : 2
    4Lajal M. (7)Grenier H.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Wawrinka S. (5)Added D. (WO.)
    2Echargui M.Lajal M. (7)2 : 1

    Final
    1Added D.Echargui M.0 : 2