Vadym Ursu vs Timofei Derepasko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
26/11/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Islamabad, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
30
Double Faults
62
1st Serve Percentage
61%45%
1st Serve Points Won
66% (23/35)41% (9/22)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (11/22)33% (9/27)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)50% (6/12)
1st Return Points Won
55% (12/22)34% (12/35)
2nd Return Points Won
67% (18/27)50% (11/22)
Break Points Converted
50% (6/12)40% (2/5)
Service Points Won
60% (34/57)38% (20/52)
Return Points Won
62% (32/52)40% (23/57)
Total Points Won
61% (66/109)39% (43/109)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
75% (6/8)14% (1/7)
Return Games Won
86% (6/7)25% (2/8)
Total Games Won
80% (12/15)20% (3/15)

Chances of winning


Vadym Ursu
58.9%
Timofei Derepasko
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48% 52%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vadym Ursu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vadym Ursu's performance.
  • Timofei Derepasko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Timofei Derepasko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vadym Ursu than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vadym Ursu that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Timofei Derepasko than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Timofei Derepasko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Vadym Ursu - Timofei Derepasko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.85)

    2.26
    (1.85)
    7.7%
    (8.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Ursu is ranked ATP: 452. Derepasko is ranked ATP: 817.
    • Ursu has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Derepasko is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Derepasko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Ursu will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Vadym Ursu
    Latest results of Timofei Derepasko
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ymer E. (1)Bye
    2Brown P.Cazacu D. N.0 : 2
    3Aleshchev A. (Alt)Tanner G. L.0 : 2
    4Iftikhar S. (Q)Alkaya M. (6)0 : 2
    5Yevseyev D. (4)Gretskiy I. (Alt)2 : 0
    6Murtaza M. (WC)Khalil Y. (Q)2 : 1
    7Arcon A. (Alt)Nikles J.0 : 2
    8Ujvary M. (Alt)Borg L. (7)0 : 2
    9Palan D. (8)Horoz A.2 : 0
    10Borrelli L. (Alt)Bataljin L. (Alt)2 : 0
    11Stephens Z.Saritas G. (Alt)2 : 0
    12Bilozertsev N.Purtseladze S. (RET.) (3)1 : 0
    13Ursu V. (5)Shoaib M. (WC)2 : 1
    14Derepasko T.Kirci K. (Alt)2 : 0
    15Khan A. (WC)Dinev D. (Alt)1 : 2
    16ByeClarke J. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Ymer E. (1)Cazacu D. N.2 : 0
    2Tanner G. L.Alkaya M. (6)1 : 2
    3Yevseyev D. (4)Murtaza M.2 : 0
    4Nikles J.Borg L. (7)2 : 1
    5Palan D. (8)Borrelli L.2 : 0
    6Stephens Z.Bilozertsev N. (RET.)1 : 1
    7Ursu V. (5)Derepasko T.2 : 0
    8Dinev D.Clarke J. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ymer E. (1)Alkaya M. (6)1 : 2
    2Yevseyev D. (4)Nikles J.2 : 1
    3Palan D. (8)Stephens Z.0 : 2
    4Ursu V. (5)Clarke J. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Alkaya M. (6)Yevseyev D. (4)2 : 1
    2Stephens Z.Clarke J. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Alkaya M. (6)Clarke J. (2)0 : 2