Valdepeñas vs Castell de Peñiscola – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
15/11/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Nacional - Round 10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 3', Alex 🟨,
  • 6', Araya B. 🟨,
  • 12', Boyis 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 24', Alex (G),
  • 30', Rosental N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Valdepeñas
55.5%
Draw
16.7%
Castell de Peñiscola
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.3% 15.6% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 17.1% 33.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Valdepeñas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Castell de Peñiscola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valdepeñas than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valdepeñas that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castell de Peñiscola than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castell de Peñiscola could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Valdepeñas - Castell de Peñiscola Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.68)
    5.46
    (5.85)
    3.27
    (3.03)
    9.9%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valdepeñas won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Valdepeñas could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Valdepeñas will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Valdepeñas won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:42. (average 3.5:4.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Valdepeñas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 3.8:5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Valdepeñas - Castell de Peñiscola were as follows:
    25.02.2025 Valdepeñas - Castell de Peñiscola 2:7
    23.11.2024 Castell de Peñiscola - Valdepeñas 8:6
    17.02.2024 Castell de Peñiscola - Valdepeñas 2:4
    16.01.2024 Castell de Peñiscola - Valdepeñas 3:2
    30.09.2023 Valdepeñas - Castell de Peñiscola 5:5
    Latest results of Valdepeñas
    08.11.2025 Valdepeñas - Alzira 1:0
    25.10.2025 Valdepeñas - Córdoba 0:1
    10.10.2025 Xota - Valdepeñas 2:2
    04.10.2025 Valdepeñas - O Parrulo 7:1
    Latest results of Castell de Peñiscola
    Spanish Primera Division Futsal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1ElPozo Murcia23174274:4955
    2Barcelona21145287:4247
    3Movistar Inter22910374:5637
    4Manzanares FS2299476:6936
    5Palma Futsal22105790:7335
    6Jaen2397767:6134
    7FS Valdepenas21102954:5032
    8Cartagena2194871:5231
    9Noia2294970:7231
    10Ind. Santa Coloma22931072:8230
    11O Parrulo2276971:7927
    12Peniscola22741171:8825
    13Cordoba22741149:6125
    14Xota FS23561260:7121
    15Alzira FS23431670:10715
    16Ribera Navarra23241752:9610

          Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Segunda Division