Valencia vs Deportivo Alavés – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
08/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
boliviaBoliviaESPN 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaTSN+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 3
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 2
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
israelIsraelONE Sport
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3, ART Sport 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesICE Xtra, Medianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 3
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 4, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
tanzaniaTanzaniaZBC 2 Tanzania
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 3
vietnamVietnamSCTV 15

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.601.33
Ball possession
61%39%
Total shots
1910
Shots on target
84
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
102
Passes
88% (490/554)80% (288/361)
Yellow cards
16
Red cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
2.601.33
xG on target (xGOT)
3.461.01
Total shots
1910
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
53
Blocked shots
63
Shots inside the box
137
Shots outside the box
63
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
01
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
102
Touches in opposition box
4323
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
41
Free kicks
179
Passes
88% (490/554)80% (288/361)
Long passes
55% (17/31)45% (22/49)
Passes in final third
81% (168/207)67% (68/102)
Crosses
27% (9/33)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
2.430.76
Throw ins
2113
Fouls
917
Tackles
67% (12/18)62% (18/29)
Duels won
5465
Clearances
1041
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
35
xGOT faced
1.013.46
Goals prevented
-0.990.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Boye L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 17', Ramazani L. 🟨,
  • 30', Protesoni C. , Yusi ,
  • 36', Guridi J. 🟨,
  • 43', Yusi 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 47', 1 - 1, Guerra J. , Sadiq U. (A),
  • 58', Pacheco J. 🟨,
  • 68', Alena C. , Guevara A. ,
  • 68', Guridi J. , Suarez D. ,
  • 70', Rioja L. , Danjuma A. ,
  • 71', 1 - 2, Boye L. , Suarez D. (A),
  • 74', Ugrinic F. , Duro H. ,
  • 82', Rendall T. , Raba D. ,
  • 82', Guerra J. , Almeida A. ,
  • 82', Ramazani L. , Lopez D. ,
  • 84', Martinez T. , Diaz M. ,
  • 90', 2 - 2, Comert E. ,
  • 90+2', Guevara A. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Pacheco J. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Guevara A. 🟨,
  • 90+9', 3 - 2, Duro H. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Valencia
45.1%
Draw
31.2%
Deportivo Alavés
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 30.8% 25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 31.7% 25.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Valencia - Deportivo Alavés Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.16)
    3.06
    (3.09)
    4.01
    (3.79)
    4.7%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Valencia - Deportivo Alavés?
  • Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Valencia will win (votes: 18 - 43.9%). Alavés will win (votes: 5 - 12.2%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 43.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Valencia: 28.7%59.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Valencia (votes: 5 - 50%). Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Valencia (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Valencia (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Valencia (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 16)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 0.
    • In recent matches, Valencia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Alavés's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Alavés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Valencia could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Valencia: Agirrezabala J. (Knee Injury) Beltran L. (Knee Injury) Copete J. (Ankle Injury) Diakhaby M. (Muscle Injury) Foulquier D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Alavés: Diaz M. (Coach's decision) Garces F. (Suspended) Ibanez P. (Yellow Cards) Parada V. (Red Card)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Valencia won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Valencia - Deportivo Alavés were as follows:
    20.10.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Valencia 0:0
    14.05.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Valencia 1:0
    22.12.2024 Valencia - Deportivo Alavés 2:2
    24.07.2024 Valencia - Deportivo Alavés 0:1
    05.05.2024 Valencia - Deportivo Alavés 0:1
    Latest results of Valencia
    01.03.2026 Valencia - Osasuna 1:0
    22.02.2026 Villarreal - Valencia 2:1
    15.02.2026 Levante - Valencia 0:2
    08.02.2026 Valencia - Real Madrid 0:2
    04.02.2026 Valencia - Athletic Bilbao 1:2
    Latest results of Deportivo Alavés
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona ✔ 29241478:285073
    2Real Madrid29223463:263769
    3Villarreal29184754:342058
    4Atl. Madrid29176649:282157
    5Betis291111744:37744
    6Celta Vigo291011841:35641
    7Real Sociedad291081144:45-138
    8Getafe291151325:31-638
    9Ath Bilbao291151332:41-938
    10Osasuna291071234:35-137
    11Espanyol291071236:44-837
    12Valencia29981232:42-1035
    13Girona298101131:44-1334
    14Rayo Vallecano297111128:35-732
    15Sevilla29871437:49-1231
    16Alaves29871430:41-1131
    17Elche296111238:46-829
    18Mallorca29771534:47-1328
    19Levante29681534:48-1426
    20Oviedo29491620:48-2821

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Barcelona is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )