Result
0:2
23/04/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 30
- Referee: Cuadra G. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport |
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Finland | CMore |
 France | beIN Sports Max, Canal+ Family |
 Greece | Nova Sports |
 Portugal | Eleven Sports |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport |
 Sweden | CMore Live |
 United-kingdom | Viaplay |
Chances of winning
Elche
21.9% | Draw
27.1% | Valencia
51% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-2%)
Elche - Valencia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.36 ↑
(4.12) |
3.53 ↑
(3.45) |
1.88 ↓
(1.92) |
4.5%
(5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Elche - Valencia?
Users Predictions:
Valencia will win
(57 of 70 users predict this - 81.43%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.32% – 90.54%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).
- Elche has the most likely position - 20 (99.35%), project points - 22, currently - 13, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- Valencia has the most likely position - 18 (19.61%), project points - 39, currently - 27, a chance of relegated (39%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
- This event has quality 59, importance 31, match rating 45. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Elche won 1.
- Elche has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Valencia is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Elche could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Valencia is a favorite.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Elche won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9-17.
- Including matches at home between the teams Elche won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.
How many head-to-head matches has Elche won against Valencia?
Elche has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Valencia won against Elche?
Valencia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Elche - Valencia were as follows:
15.10.2022
Valencia
-
Elche
2:2
Latest results of Valencia
Spanish LaLiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Villarreal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 7 | 6 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Getafe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Ath Bilbao | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Espanyol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Betis | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Alaves | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Elche | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Atl. Madrid | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Valencia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Celta Vigo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | Mallorca | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 17 | Sevilla | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Levante | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 | R. Oviedo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
| 20 | Girona | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ LaLiga2
