Elche vs Valencia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
11/04/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 31
  • Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
boliviaBoliviaTigo Sports 1
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaTSN+
chileChileDirecTV Sports
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, SCTV, Vidio
israelIsraelONE Sport
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
maldivesMaldivesICE Xtra, Medianet
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 2
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 4, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 3
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
vietnamVietnamSCTV 15, SCTV Online

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.592.33
Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
822
Shots on target
28
Big chances
25
Corner kicks
59
Passes
85% (373/441)85% (264/310)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
0.592.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.950.65
Total shots
822
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
57
Blocked shots
17
Shots inside the box
616
Shots outside the box
26
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
25
Corner kicks
59
Touches in opposition box
1932
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
43
Free kicks
1815
Passes
85% (373/441)85% (264/310)
Long passes
45% (22/49)49% (19/39)
Passes in final third
70% (87/124)73% (64/88)
Crosses
17% (2/12)32% (8/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.441.08
Throw ins
1413
Fouls
1518
Tackles
39% (9/23)65% (11/17)
Duels won
5651
Clearances
2624
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
72
xGOT faced
0.650.95
Goals prevented
0.65-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Buba Sangare 🟨,
  • 60', Rioja L. , Lopez D. ,
  • 61', Sadiq U. , Duro H. ,
  • 63', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
  • 64', Andre Silva , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 64', Buba Sangare , Donald J. ,
  • 72', Neto M. , Cepeda L. ,
  • 72', Villar G. , Pedrosa A. ,
  • 73', 1 - 0, Cepeda L. , Febas A. (A),
  • 75', Comert E. , Pepelu ,
  • 75', Gaya J. , Vazquez J. ,
  • 81', Beltran L. , Danjuma A. ,
  • 82', Valera G. , Chust V. ,

Chances of winning


Elche
35.7%
Draw
27.6%
Valencia
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 28.9% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 29.7% 30.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valencia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elche, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valencia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Elche - Valencia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (2.36)
    3.46
    (3.26)
    2.61
    (3.04)
    4.7%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Elche - Valencia?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Elche will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Valencia will win (votes: 9 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Valencia: 26.9%73.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elche won 0.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Valencia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Elche has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Elche: Bigas P. (Red Card) Boayar A. (Muscle Injury) Diangana G. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Valencia: Agirrezabala J. (Knee Injury) Copete J. (Ankle Injury) Diakhaby M. (Muscle Injury) Foulquier D. (Knee Injury) Nunez U. (Muscle Injury) Renzo Saravia (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Elche: Aguado M. (Muscle Injury) Fort H. (Shoulder Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Elche won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 0.9:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Elche won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elche - Valencia were as follows:
    10.01.2026 Valencia - Elche 1:1
    23.04.2023 Elche - Valencia 0:2
    15.10.2022 Valencia - Elche 2:2
    Latest results of Elche
    03.04.2026 Rayo Vallecano - Elche 1:0
    27.03.2026 Aston Villa - Elche 1:2
    21.03.2026 Elche - Mallorca 2:1
    14.03.2026 Real Madrid - Elche 4:1
    08.03.2026 Villarreal - Elche 2:1
    Latest results of Valencia
    05.04.2026 Valencia - Celta de Vigo 2:3
    21.03.2026 Sevilla - Valencia 0:2
    14.03.2026 Real Oviedo - Valencia 1:0
    01.03.2026 Valencia - Osasuna 1:0
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona ✔ 33281487:305785
    2Real Madrid ✔ 33235568:313774
    3Villarreal33205859:382165
    4Atl. Madrid33186956:371960
    5Betis331214749:41850
    6Getafe331351528:34-644
    7Celta Vigo3311111145:43244
    8Real Sociedad3311101252:52043
    9Osasuna331191339:40-142
    10Ath Bilbao331251636:48-1241
    11Rayo Vallecano339121233:41-839
    12Valencia331091437:48-1139
    13Espanyol331091437:49-1239
    14Elche339111344:50-638
    15Girona339111336:50-1438
    16Alaves33991538:49-1136
    17Mallorca33981641:51-1035
    18Sevilla33971740:55-1534
    19Levante33891637:50-1333
    20Oviedo336101726:51-2528

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Barcelona is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Real Madrid is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )