Girona vs Valencia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga Girona - Valencia
04/10/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Girona
39.6%
Draw
27.4%
Valencia
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 26.5% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 27.3% 34.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Girona - Valencia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.52)
    3.51
    (3.58)
    2.93
    (2.64)
    3.5%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Girona won 3.
    • Recent form of Girona has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Valencia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Girona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Girona won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Girona won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Girona - Valencia were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Girona - Valencia 1:1
    21.09.2024 Valencia - Girona 2:0
    19.05.2024 Valencia - Girona 1:3
    02.12.2023 Girona - Valencia 2:1
    05.02.2023 Girona - Valencia 1:0
    Latest results of Girona
    26.09.2025 Girona - Espanyol 0:0
    23.09.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Girona 1:1
    20.09.2025 Girona - Levante 0:4
    14.09.2025 Celta de Vigo - Girona 1:1
    30.08.2025 Girona - Sevilla 0:2
    Latest results of Valencia
    23.09.2025 Espanyol - Valencia 2:2
    20.09.2025 Valencia - Athletic Bilbao 2:0
    14.09.2025 Barcelona - Valencia 6:0
    29.08.2025 Valencia - Getafe 3:0
    24.08.2025 Osasuna - Valencia 1:0
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Madrid760116:8818
    2Barcelona651019:41516
    3Villarreal751113:5816
    4Atl. Madrid733114:9512
    5Espanyol733110:9112
    6Getafe73228:9-111
    7Elche62408:5310
    8Ath Bilbao73137:8-110
    9Betis62319:729
    10Alaves72236:7-18
    11Valencia62228:10-28
    12Sevilla621310:1007
    13Osasuna62135:507
    14Rayo Vallecano61237:9-25
    15Celta Vigo60515:7-25
    16Levante712411:14-35
    17Real Sociedad61236:9-35
    18Mallorca71246:11-55
    19R. Oviedo61052:11-93
    20Girona70343:16-133

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