Las Palmas vs Valencia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga Las Palmas - Valencia
Result
2:3
03/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 34
  • Referee: De Burgos R. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaTSN+
chileChileDirecTV Sports
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaGXR World
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
israelIsraelONE Sport
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoK Sport 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
maldivesMaldivesICE Plus, Medianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, TV2 Sport Premium
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 4
portugalPortugalDAZN 2
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
taiwanTaiwanDAZN
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
vietnamVietnamK+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.821.34
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
95
Passes
80% (313/393)79% (298/378)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.821.34
xG on target (xGOT)
1.262.79
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
95
Touches in opposition box
2720
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
612
Passes
80% (313/393)79% (298/378)
Long passes
43% (24/56)41% (20/49)
Passes in final third
60% (76/126)54% (44/81)
Crosses
27% (10/37)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.240.55
Throw-ins
2016
Fouls
126
Tackles
50% (8/16)63% (10/16)
Duels won
4147
Clearances
2748
Interceptions
37
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
2.791.26
Goals prevented
0.79-0.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Duro H. ,
  • 26', Guerra J. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, Ramirez S. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 58', Essugo D. , Marvin ,
  • 58', Ramirez S. , Fuster M. ,
  • 58', 1 - 2, Duro H. ,
  • 69', Munoz A. , Januzaj A. ,
  • 73', Gaya J. , Vazquez J. ,
  • 73', Duro H. , Sadiq U. ,
  • 73', Mir R. , Almeida A. ,
  • 75', Bajcetic S. 🟨,
  • 75', 1 - 3, Alex Suarez (Own goal),
  • 79', Bajcetic S. , Campana J. ,
  • 79', Javier Munoz , Mata J. ,
  • 83', 2 - 3, McBurnie O. , Campana J. (A),
  • 84', Lopez D. , Gasiorowski Y. ,
  • 84', Rioja L. , Perez F. ,

Chances of winning


Las Palmas
37.1%
Draw
29.4%
Valencia
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 27.3% 35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 28.7% 34%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Las Palmas - Valencia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.61)
    3.28
    (3.54)
    2.86
    (2.7)
    4.1%
    (3.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Las Palmas - Valencia?
  • Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 12 - 37.5%). Valencia will win (votes: 7 - 21.9%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 40.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.6%57.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Valencia (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 3.
    • In recent matches, Las Palmas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Valencia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Las Palmas: Rodriguez K. (Health problems)
    • There will not play in Valencia: Correia T. (Knee Injury) Tarrega C. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Las Palmas: Cillessen J. (Health problems) Ramirez B. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Las Palmas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Las Palmas - Valencia were as follows:
    21.10.2024 Valencia - Las Palmas 2:3
    10.02.2024 Las Palmas - Valencia 2:0
    18.08.2023 Valencia - Las Palmas 1:0
    Latest results of Las Palmas
    Latest results of Valencia
    22.04.2025 Valencia - Espanyol 1:1
    19.04.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Valencia 1:1
    11.04.2025 Valencia - Sevilla 1:0
    05.04.2025 Real Madrid - Valencia 1:2
    30.03.2025 Valencia - Mallorca 1:0
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Sociedad00000:000
    2Elche00000:000
    3Alaves00000:000
    4Celta Vigo00000:000
    5Rayo Vallecano00000:000
    6Real Madrid00000:000
    7Villarreal00000:000
    8Barcelona00000:000
    9Atl. Madrid00000:000
    10Sevilla00000:000
    11Mallorca00000:000
    12Valencia00000:000
    13Ath Bilbao00000:000
    14Espanyol00000:000
    15Betis00000:000
    16Getafe00000:000
    17Osasuna00000:000
    18Levante00000:000
    19Girona00000:000
    20R. Oviedo00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2