Result
106:108
21/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa del Rey - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | CT sport Plus |
 Finland | Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+ |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 5 |
 Portugal | DAZN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field goals attempts |
|---|
| 68 | 65 |
| Field goals made |
|---|
| 35 | 36 |
| Field goals % |
|---|
| 51.47% | 55.38% |
| 2-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 34 | 30 |
| 2-point field goals made |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| 2-point field goals % |
|---|
| 61.76% | 73.33% |
| 3-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 34 | 35 |
| 3-point field goals made |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| 3-point field goals % |
|---|
| 41.18% | 40% |
| Free throws attempts |
|---|
| 27 | 35 |
| Free throws made |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Free throws % |
|---|
| 81.5% | 62.9% |
| Offensive rebounds |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Defensive rebounds |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Total rebounds |
|---|
| 31 | 34 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Personal fouls |
|---|
| 31 | 25 |
Chances of winning
Valencia
44.3% | Real Madrid
55.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valencia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Madrid, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Valencia - Real Madrid Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↑
(2) |
|
1.7 ↓
(1.72) |
6%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 178.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
What is the prediction for Valencia - Real Madrid?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Real Madrid (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1, 3Q - Real Madrid (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 172.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Real Madrid will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Real Madrid (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 88:91.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 2.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1641:1764. (average 82.1:88.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Valencia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 636:662. (average 79.5:82.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Valencia won against Real Madrid?
Valencia has won 4 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Valencia?
Real Madrid has won 14 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Valencia - Real Madrid were as follows:
18.01.2026
Real Madrid
-
Valencia
94:79
11.11.2025
Valencia
-
Real Madrid
89:76
28.09.2025
Real Madrid
-
Valencia
94:98
25.06.2025
Valencia
-
Real Madrid
70:81
22.06.2025
Real Madrid
-
Valencia
102:96
Latest results of Valencia
Latest results of Real Madrid
Draw
2026Quarter-finals| 1 | Valencia | Joventut Badalona | 95 : 84 |
| 2 | Unicaja | Real Madrid | 70 : 100 |
| 3 | Baskonia | Tenerife | 91 : 81 |
| 4 | Barcelona | Murcia | 91 : 85 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Valencia | Real Madrid | 106 : 108 |
| 2 | Baskonia | Barcelona | 70 : 67 |
Final| 1 | Real Madrid | Baskonia | 89 : 100 |
