Valencia vs Real Oviedo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga
Result
1:2
30/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, TSN+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
franceFrancebeIN Connect
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2, ART Sport 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
spainSpainDAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga
surinameSurinameSCCN
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Zoom
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, SCTV 15

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.700.77
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
87% (471/539)81% (337/415)
Yellow Cards
14
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.700.77
xG on target (xGOT)
1.931.47
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2823
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
87% (471/539)81% (337/415)
Long passes
53% (21/40)52% (26/50)
Passes in final third
79% (110/140)65% (67/103)
Crosses
29% (6/21)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.030.96
Throw-ins
1117
Fouls
1412
Tackles
71% (5/7)50% (9/18)
Duels won
3546
Clearances
2031
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.471.93
Goals prevented
-0.530.93

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Danjuma A. ⚽, Rioja L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 55', Almeida A. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
  • 55', Guerra J. ↓, Pepelu ↑,
  • 55', Duro H. ↓, Beltran L. ↑,
  • 56', Tarrega C. 🟨,
  • 61', Vinas F. 🟨,
  • 65', Brekalo J. ↓, Ilic L. ↑,
  • 70', Reina A. 🟨,
  • 71', Ilic L. 🟨,
  • 75', Danjuma A. (Pen),
  • 76', Reina A. ↓, Chaira I. ↑,
  • 76', Vinas F. ↓, Rondon S. ↑,
  • 78', Danjuma A. ↓, Raba D. ↑,
  • 85', 1 - 1, Ilic L. ⚽,
  • 86', Rioja L. ↓, Ramazani L. ↑,
  • 86', 1 - 2, Rondon S. ⚽, Ahijado L. (A),
  • 88', Hassan H. ↓, Costas D. ↑,
  • 90+3', Ilic L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Valencia
62.7%		Draw
23.9%		Real Oviedo
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.3% 25.7% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 25.1% 17.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valencia's performance.
  • Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
    •

    Valencia - Real Oviedo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.58 ↓
    (1.71)    		 4.3 ↑
    (3.73)    		 7.92 ↑
    (5.33)    		 -0.8%
    (4.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Valencia - Real Oviedo?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Oviedo (1.61) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Valencia (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Valencia (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Valencia (3.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Valencia (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Valencia will win (20 of 20 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Valencia will win (32 of 36 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 43 high ROI users predict this event. Valencia (votes: 37 - 86%). Oviedo (votes: 4 - 9.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 4.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).
    • Valencia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Oviedo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Valencia is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Oviedo: Ejaria O. (Injury) Lemos A. (Knee Injury) Vidal N. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Valencia
    23.09.2025 Espanyol - Valencia 2:2 ✺
    20.09.2025 Valencia - Athletic Bilbao 2:0 ✺
    14.09.2025 Barcelona - Valencia 6:0 ✺
    29.08.2025 Valencia - Getafe 3:0 ✺
    24.08.2025 Osasuna - Valencia 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Real Oviedo
    25.09.2025 Real Oviedo - Barcelona 1:3 ✺
    21.09.2025 Elche - Real Oviedo 1:0 ✺
    13.09.2025 Getafe - Real Oviedo 2:0 ✺
    30.08.2025 Real Oviedo - Real Sociedad 1:0 ✺
    24.08.2025 Real Oviedo - Real Madrid 0:3 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona25201467:254261
    2Real Madrid25193354:213360
    3Villarreal25163647:272051
    4Atl. Madrid25146542:231948
    5Betis25119540:301042
    6Celta Vigo25910634:27737
    7Espanyol251051031:37-635
    8Ath Bilbao251041129:35-634
    9Osasuna25961030:29133
    10Real Sociedad2588937:38-132
    11Girona2579926:40-1430
    12Sevilla25851232:39-729
    13Getafe25851220:29-929
    14Alaves25761223:32-927
    15Rayo Vallecano24681022:31-926
    16Valencia25681126:39-1326
    17Elche255101032:37-525
    18Mallorca25661329:41-1224
    19Levante25461526:44-1818
    20Oviedo24381316:39-2317

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

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