Real Oviedo vs Valencia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/03/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo).

LaLiga - Round 28
Referee: Sesma M. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 15

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.87	0.55
Ball possession
42%	58%
Total shots
11	13
Shots on target
6	2
Big chances
4	0
Corner kicks
4	7
Passes
83% (305/367)	85% (428/506)
Yellow cards
3	2
Expected goals (xG)
0.87	0.55
xG on target (xGOT)
1.27	0.07
Total shots
11	13
Shots on target
6	2
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked shots
1	6
Shots inside the box
7	6
Shots outside the box
4	7
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
4	0
Corner kicks
4	7
Touches in opposition box
14	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	3
Free kicks
11	12
Passes
83% (305/367)	85% (428/506)
Long passes
53% (31/59)	46% (26/57)
Passes in final third
77% (80/104)	73% (107/146)
Crosses
20% (3/15)	20% (5/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.60	0.79
Throw ins
10	26
Fouls
12	11
Tackles
71% (15/21)	79% (15/19)
Duels won
51	46
Clearances
32	15
Interceptions
8	8
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	5
xGOT faced
0.07	1.27
Goals prevented
0.07	0.27

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Rendall T. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Costas D. ⚽, Fernandez T. (A),
32', Nunez U. 🟨,
36', Fernandez T. 🟨,
41', Vidal N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Sadiq U. ↓, Duro H. ↑,
56', Ugrinic F. ↓, Almeida A. ↑,
56', Danjuma A. ↓, Rioja L. ↑,
59', Fonseca N. 🟨,
63', Ilic L. ↓, Chaira I. ↑,
70', Guerra J. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
70', Fonseca N. ↓, Colombatto S. ↑,
70', Fernandez T. ↓, Hassan H. ↑,
80', Gaya J. ↓, Beltran L. ↑,
85', Vidal N. ↓, Calvo D. ↑,
85', Reina A. ↓, Cazorla S. ↑,

Chances of winning

Real Oviedo
32.9%

Draw
30.4%

Valencia
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

28.2%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

28%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Real Oviedo - Valencia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.72)	3.15 ↓ (3.37)	2.6 ↑ (2.58)	4.8% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Real Oviedo - Valencia?

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Oviedo will win (votes: 3 - 11.1%). Valencia will win (votes: 10 - 37%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 51.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.1% – 70.7%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Valencia (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Valencia (1.83) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.5 - Valencia (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Valencia (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 12).
Recent form of Oviedo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Valencia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Valencia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Oviedo: Ahijado L. (Injury) Borbas T. (Injury) Dendoncker L. (Injury) Ejaria O. (Injury)
There will not play in Valencia: Agirrezabala J. (Knee Injury) Copete J. (Ankle Injury) Diakhaby M. (Muscle Injury) Foulquier D. (Knee Injury)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Oviedo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Oviedo won against Valencia?

Real Oviedo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Valencia won against Real Oviedo?

Valencia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Oviedo - Valencia were as follows:

30.09.2025 Valencia - Real Oviedo 1:2

Latest results of Real Oviedo

09.03.2026 Espanyol - Real Oviedo 1:1 ✺

04.03.2026 Rayo Vallecano - Real Oviedo 3:0 ✺

28.02.2026 Real Oviedo - Atlético Madrid 0:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Real Sociedad - Real Oviedo 3:3 ✺

15.02.2026 Real Oviedo - Athletic Bilbao 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Valencia

08.03.2026 Valencia - Deportivo Alavés 3:2 ✺

01.03.2026 Valencia - Osasuna 1:0 ✺

22.02.2026 Villarreal - Valencia 2:1 ✺

15.02.2026 Levante - Valencia 0:2 ✺

08.02.2026 Valencia - Real Madrid 0:2 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	28	23	1	4	77:28	49	70
2	Real Madrid	28	21	3	4	60:24	36	66
3	Atl. Madrid	28	17	6	5	47:25	22	57
4	Villarreal	28	17	4	7	51:33	18	55
5	Betis	28	11	11	6	43:35	8	44
6	Celta Vigo	28	10	11	7	38:31	7	41
7	Real Sociedad	28	10	8	10	43:42	1	38
8	Espanyol	28	10	7	11	35:42	-7	37
9	Getafe	28	10	5	13	23:30	-7	35
10	Ath Bilbao	28	10	5	13	30:40	-10	35
11	Osasuna	28	9	7	12	33:35	-2	34
12	Girona	28	8	10	10	31:43	-12	34
13	Rayo Vallecano	28	7	11	10	28:34	-6	32
14	Valencia	28	8	8	12	30:42	-12	32
15	Sevilla	28	8	7	13	37:47	-10	31
16	Mallorca	28	7	7	14	33:45	-12	28
17	Alaves	28	7	7	14	26:38	-12	28
18	Elche	28	5	11	12	36:45	-9	26
19	Levante	28	5	8	15	30:46	-16	23
20	Oviedo	28	4	9	15	18:44	-26	21

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2