Valencia vs Žalgiris Kaunas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
91:87
05/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Euroleague - Round 30
  • Referee: Pastusiak P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
europeEuropeGo3 Baltic Euroleague
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFranceSKWeek App
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
greeceGreeceNova Sports 6
israelIsraelSport 5
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3, Arena Premium 5
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
worldWorldEuroLeague TV

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
6760
Field goals made
3633
Field goals %
53.73%55%
2-point field goals attempts
4235
2-point field goals made
2821
2-point field goals %
66.67%60%
3-point field goals attempts
2525
3-point field goals made
812
3-point field goals %
32%48%
Free throws attempts
1512
Free throws made
119
Free throws %
73.3%75%
Offensive rebounds
117
Defensive rebounds
2322
Total rebounds
3429
Assists
1925
Blocks
20
Turnovers
89
Steals
26
Personal fouls
1422

Chances of winning


Valencia
66.3%
Žalgiris Kaunas
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.6% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Žalgiris Kaunas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valencia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žalgiris Kaunas than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Žalgiris Kaunas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Valencia - Žalgiris Kaunas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.43)

    2.84
    (2.98)
    4.4%
    (3.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 177.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
    What is the prediction for Valencia - Žalgiris Kaunas?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Valencia will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Žalgiris will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Valencia: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Valencia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -5.5, OT - Žalgiris (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4.5, OT - Žalgiris (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3.5, OT - Žalgiris (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5, OT - Žalgiris (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5, OT - Žalgiris (2.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5, OT - Žalgiris (2.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2.5, OT - Žalgiris (3.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +3.5, OT - Žalgiris (3.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +5.5, OT - Žalgiris (4.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -13.5, OT - Žalgiris (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -12.5, OT - Žalgiris (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -11.5, OT - Žalgiris (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -10.5, OT - Žalgiris (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -9.5, OT - Žalgiris (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -8.5, OT - Žalgiris (1.53) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -7.5, OT - Žalgiris (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -6.5, OT - Žalgiris (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5, 2nd Half - Žalgiris (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4.5, 1st Half - Žalgiris (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3.5, 1st Half - Žalgiris (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5, 1st Half - Žalgiris (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5, 1Q - Žalgiris (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 24 high ROI users predict this event. Valencia (votes: 1 - 4.2%). Žalgiris (votes: 23 - 95.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 92:87.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 1.
    • Valencia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Žalgiris is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Žalgiris may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Valencia could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 798:817. (average 79.8:81.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Valencia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 296:314. (average 74:78.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Valencia - Žalgiris Kaunas were as follows:
    07.11.2025 Žalgiris Kaunas - Valencia 86:77
    09.01.2024 Valencia - Žalgiris Kaunas 79:84
    27.10.2023 Žalgiris Kaunas - Valencia 72:87
    31.03.2023 Žalgiris Kaunas - Valencia 95:74
    25.11.2022 Valencia - Žalgiris Kaunas 76:80
    Latest results of Valencia
    26.02.2026 Baskonia - Valencia 79:108
    21.02.2026 Valencia - Real Madrid 106:108
    19.02.2026 Valencia - Joventut Badalona 95:84
    15.02.2026 BC Andorra - Valencia 75:107
    12.02.2026 Valencia - ASVEL Basket 82:67
    Latest results of Žalgiris Kaunas
    Euroleague Table
    2025/26
    PlWL
    1Fenerbahce312292558:2470
    2Olympiacos3221112874:2656
    3Real Madrid3120112722:2564
    4Valencia3120112794:2663
    5Hapoel Tel-Aviv3019112572:2460
    6Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet3118132683:2631
    7Zalgiris Kaunas3117142731:2586
    8Monaco3117142762:2649
    9Panathinaikos3117142656:2618
    10Barcelona3117142617:2601
    11Dubai3116152713:2720
    12Olimpia Milano3116152634:2654
    13Maccabi Tel Aviv3014162661:2733
    14Bayern3113182492:2585
    15Virtus Bologna3113182528:2624
    16Paris3212202862:2932
    17Partizan Mozzart Bet3111202480:2690
    18Anadolu Efes3110212455:2559
    19Baskonia319222672:2836
    20Lyon-Villeurbanne318232424:2659

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