Caen vs Valenciennes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French National League Caen - Valenciennes
19/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Caen
44.5%
Draw
28%
Valenciennes
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.2% 27.3% 25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5% 26.6% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Valenciennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Caen - Valenciennes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (1.97)
    3.34
    (3.41)
    3.4
    (3.65)
    7%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caen won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Caen could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Caen won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Caen won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Caen - Valenciennes were as follows:
    17.05.2024 Caen - Valenciennes 3:0
    28.10.2023 Valenciennes - Caen 2:2
    18.03.2023 Caen - Valenciennes 2:1
    05.11.2022 Valenciennes - Caen 1:1
    Latest results of Caen
    12.09.2025 Sochaux - Caen 1:1
    05.09.2025 Caen - Dijon 0:0
    29.08.2025 Fleury-Merogis - Caen 1:2
    22.08.2025 Caen - Versailles 0:2
    15.08.2025 Quevilly - Caen 1:1
    Latest results of Valenciennes
    French National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sochaux641113:5813
    2Versailles44009:1812
    3Rouen632111:6511
    4Dijon62407:4310
    5Orleans63126:9-310
    6Caen62317:529
    7Concarneau52216:608
    8Aubagne52216:608
    9Fleury-Merogis52128:447
    10Chateauroux61418:807
    11Valenciennes62137:8-17
    12Paris 13 Atl62046:10-46
    13Villefranche51223:7-45
    14Stade Briochin61235:10-55
    15Bourg en Bresse50323:6-33
    16Le Puy-en-Velay60335:10-53
    17Quevilly Rouen50144:9-51

          Promotion ~ Ligue 2
          Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: )
          Relegation