Valenciennes vs Caen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
28/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDAZN App
ecuadorEcuadorDAZN App
franceFranceBFM Grand Lille
mexicoMexicoDAZN App
paraguayParaguayDAZN App
peruPeruDAZN App
uruguayUruguayDAZN App
venezuelaVenezuelaDAZN App
worldWorldFIFA+

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
65
Corner kicks
65
Yellow cards
10
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
55
Corner kicks
65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 41', 1 - 0, Courtet G. , Diomande D. (A),
  • 44', 2 - 0, Courtet G. , Koum Mbondo A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 52', Rouai M. 🟨,
  • 59', Labonne R. , Etuin M. ,
  • 59', Rajot L. , Mazie O. ,
  • 59', Dali Amar B. , Duville-Parsemain A. ,
  • 69', Marechal T. , Boissier R. ,
  • 69', Diomande D. , Appuah S. ,
  • 69', Gnanduillet A. , Portut K. ,
  • 72', Kimboma J. , Morante L. ,
  • 73', Courtet G. , Abi C. ,
  • 77', 2 - 1, Hafid M. , Mazie O. (A),
  • 84', Raheriniaina E. H. , Ipiele A. ,
  • 84', Belloumou S. , Landre L. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Valenciennes
40.9%
Draw
29%
Caen
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 29.3% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 27.7% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Valenciennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caen than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Valenciennes - Caen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.25)
    3.18
    (3.13)
    3.06
    (3.06)
    8.5%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valenciennes won 0.
    • Valenciennes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Caen has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Valenciennes will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Valenciennes won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Valenciennes won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Valenciennes - Caen were as follows:
    19.09.2025 Caen - Valenciennes 0:0
    17.05.2024 Caen - Valenciennes 3:0
    28.10.2023 Valenciennes - Caen 2:2
    18.03.2023 Caen - Valenciennes 2:1
    05.11.2022 Valenciennes - Caen 1:1
    Latest results of Valenciennes
    Latest results of Caen
    20.02.2026 Caen - Sochaux 1:3
    13.02.2026 Dijon - Caen 3:3
    06.02.2026 Caen - Fleury-Merogis 1:0
    30.01.2026 Versailles - Caen 2:1
    23.01.2026 Caen - Quevilly 0:0
    French National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dijon301611347:222559
    2Sochaux30169548:222657
    3Fleury-Merogis30159646:262054
    4Rouen301313440:251552
    5Versailles30147941:311049
    6Orleans30139838:39-148
    7Le Puy-en-Velay301210842:34846
    8Caen30815738:31739
    9Valenciennes301071333:41-836
    10Concarneau308121030:35-536
    11Villefranche311061532:43-1136
    12Aubagne30891334:44-1033
    13Paris 13 Atl307101325:39-1431
    14Quevilly Rouen30791433:42-930
    15Bourg en Bresse31771724:44-2028
    16Chateauroux305121331:46-1526
    17Stade Briochin304111530:48-1823

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