Result
0:2
22/05/2023 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 36
- Referee: Abed K. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Croatia | Arena Sport |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2 |
France | beIN Sports |
Serbia | Arena Sport |
Slovenia | Arena Sport |
Turkey | beIN Sports 4 |
Chances of winning
Le Havre 61.2% | Draw 24.4% | Valenciennes 14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Valenciennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Le Havre - Valenciennes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.53 ↓ (1.63) |
3.87 ↑ (3.58) |
6.51 ↑ (5.98) |
6.4% (6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Le Havre - Valenciennes?
Users Predictions:
Le Havre will win
(44 of 50 users predict this - 88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.99% – 97.01%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
- Le Havre has the most likely position - 1 (87.43%), project points - 76, currently - 71, not chance of relegated, a very good chance of promoted (>99%), a good chance of win league (87%).
- Valenciennes has the most likely position - 18 (36.15%), project points - 42, currently - 39, a good chance of relegated (55%), not chance of promoted.
- This event has quality 32, very big importance 100, match rating 66. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 2.
- Le Havre is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Valenciennes is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Le Havre could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Le Havre is a favorite.
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 25-16.
- Including matches at home between the teams Le Havre won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-10.
How many head-to-head matches has Le Havre won against Valenciennes?
Le Havre has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Valenciennes won against Le Havre?
Valenciennes has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Le Havre - Valenciennes were as follows:
Latest results of Le Havre
Latest results of Valenciennes
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | St Etienne | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 7 |
2 | Pau FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 7 |
3 | Nancy | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
4 | Troyes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
5 | Clermont | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
6 | Red Star | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 4 |
7 | Amiens | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
8 | Montpellier | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
9 | Annecy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
10 | Le Mans | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
11 | Reims | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
12 | Laval | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
13 | Dunkerque | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
14 | Rodez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 2 |
15 | Bastia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
16 | Grenoble | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
17 | Guingamp | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
18 | Boulogne | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National