Result
0:2
22/05/2023 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 36
- Referee: Abed K. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2 |
 France | beIN Sports |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport |
 Turkey | beIN Sports 4 |
Chances of winning
Le Havre
61.2% | Draw
24.4% | Valenciennes
14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Valenciennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Le Havre - Valenciennes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(1.63) |
3.87 ↑
(3.58) |
6.51 ↑
(5.98) |
6.4%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Le Havre - Valenciennes?
Users Predictions:
Le Havre will win
(44 of 50 users predict this - 88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.99% – 97.01%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
- Le Havre has the most likely position - 1 (87.43%), project points - 76, currently - 71, not chance of relegated, a very good chance of promoted (>99%), a good chance of win league (87%).
- Valenciennes has the most likely position - 18 (36.15%), project points - 42, currently - 39, a good chance of relegated (55%), not chance of promoted.
- This event has quality 32, very big importance 100, match rating 66. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 2.
- Le Havre is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Valenciennes is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Le Havre could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Le Havre is a favorite.
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 25-16.
- Including matches at home between the teams Le Havre won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-10.
How many head-to-head matches has Le Havre won against Valenciennes?
Le Havre has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Valenciennes won against Le Havre?
Valenciennes has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Le Havre - Valenciennes were as follows:
Latest results of Le Havre
Latest results of Valenciennes
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 52:32 | 20 | 58 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 53:31 | 22 | 57 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 54 |
| 4 | Red Star | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 36:30 | 6 | 51 |
| 5 | Reims | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 48 |
| 6 | Rodez | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 38:35 | 3 | 48 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 44 |
| 8 | Annecy | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 41:48 | -7 | 42 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45:37 | 8 | 40 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 36 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Clermont | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 30 |
| 15 | Nancy | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Laval | 30 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 26:43 | -17 | 25 |
| 17 | Amiens | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 24 |
| 18 | Bastia | 30 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
