Result
0:2
23/09/2025 at 07:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou, hard - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports 1 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 62% | 63% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 78% (35/45) | 80% (44/55) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (19/28) | 61% (20/33) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 100% (2/2) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 22% (12/55) | 22% (10/45) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (13/33) | 32% (9/28) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 0% (0/2) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 21 | 36 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (13/24) | 83% (10/12) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 74% (54/73) | 73% (62/85) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 27% (23/85) | 26% (19/73) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (77/158) | 51% (81/158) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 100% (12/12) | 100% (12/12) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 0% (0/12) | 0% (0/12) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 50% (12/24) | 50% (12/24) |
Chances of winning
Valentin Royer
24.5% | Alexander Bublik
75.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valentin Royer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valentin Royer's form might have worsened.Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexander Bublik's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valentin Royer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-9.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Bublik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Valentin Royer - Alexander Bublik Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.86 ↑
(2.86) |
|
1.27 ↓
(1.43) |
5%
(4.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Valentin Royer - Alexander Bublik?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Royer will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Bublik will win (votes: 13 - 86.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bublik: 69.5% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bublik (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Royer is ranked ATP: 88. Bublik is ranked ATP: 19.
- Royer has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In recent matches, Bublik has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Royer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Bublik is a strong favorite.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Valentin Royer won against Alexander Bublik?
Valentin Royer has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alexander Bublik won against Valentin Royer?
Alexander Bublik has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Valentin Royer - Alexander Bublik were as follows:
Latest results of Valentin Royer
Latest results of Alexander Bublik
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Rublev A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Kovacevic A. | Royer V. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Zeppieri G. (Q) | Sun F. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Navone M. | Tien L. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Moutet C. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Cazaux A. | Arnaldi M. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Dzumhur D. | Etcheverry T. M. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Hijikata R. (Q) | Ugo Carabelli C. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Berrettini M. (8) | Svrcina D. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Bu Y. | Zhang Z. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Vukic A. | Goffin D. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Bublik A. (3) | |
| 13 | Mannarino A. (6) | Wu Y. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Walton A. | Korda S. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Basavareddy N. (Q) | Cilic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Medvedev D. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Rublev A. (1) | Royer V. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Zeppieri G. | Tien L. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Moutet C. (4) | Cazaux A. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Etcheverry T. M. | Hijikata R. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Svrcina D. | Zhang Z. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Vukic A. | Bublik A. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Wu Y. | Korda S. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Basavareddy N. | Medvedev D. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Royer V. | Tien L. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Moutet C. (4) | Etcheverry T. M. (RET.) | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Svrcina D. | Bublik A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Wu Y. | Medvedev D. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Royer V. | Moutet C. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bublik A. (3) | Wu Y. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Royer V. | Bublik A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
