Mariano Navone vs Valentin Royer – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
13/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cap Cana, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
14
Double Faults
24
1st serve percentage
70%62%
1st serve points won
60% (28/47)57% (27/47)
2nd serve points won
70% (14/20)45% (13/29)
Break Points Saved
3/54/8
1st return points won
43% (20/47)40% (19/47)
2nd return points won
55% (16/29)30% (6/20)
Break Points Converted
4/82/5
Winners
1526
Unforced errors
2150
Net points won
25% (1/4)57% (13/23)
Service Points Won
62% (41/66)53% (40/76)
Return Points Won
47% (36/76)38% (25/66)
Total Points Won
54% (77/142)46% (65/142)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
80% (8/10)60% (6/10)
Return games won
40% (4/10)20% (2/10)
Total games won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Mariano Navone
43%
Valentin Royer
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.9% 56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 51.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mariano Navone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Valentin Royer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mariano Navone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valentin Royer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mariano Navone - Valentin Royer Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.11)

    1.65
    (1.65)
    6.6%
    (8%)
    What is the prediction for Mariano Navone - Valentin Royer?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Royer will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Navone: 30.4%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Navone (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Royer (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Navone is ranked ATP: 79. Royer is ranked ATP: 60.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Royer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Navone won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mariano Navone - Valentin Royer were as follows:
    02.10.2025 Valentin Royer - Mariano Navone 2:1
    Latest results of Mariano Navone
    Latest results of Valentin Royer
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kecmanovic M. (1)Bye
    2McDonald M. (Alt)Landaluce M. (Q)2 : 1
    3Tseng C. H.Andrade A. (Q)0 : 2
    4Jarry N. (WC)Walton A. (8)0 : 2
    5Hurkacz H. (4)Bye
    6Maestrelli F.Bellucci M.0 : 2
    7van Assche L. (Q)Schoolkate T.2 : 0
    8Barrios Vera T.Collignon R. (5)0 : 2
    9Garin C. (7)Svrcina D.0 : 2
    10Cid Subervi R. (WC)Blockx A.0 : 2
    11Burruchaga R. A.Wong C. (LL)1 : 2
    12ByeDzumhur D. (3)
    13Navone M. (6)Hardt N. (WC)2 : 1
    14Mejia N. (Q)Mochizuki S. (Alt)0 : 2
    15Bautista-Agut R.Goffin D. (Alt)2 : 0
    16ByeRoyer V. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Kecmanovic M. (1)McDonald M.2 : 0
    2Andrade A.Walton A. (8)0 : 2
    3Hurkacz H. (4)Bellucci M.0 : 2
    4van Assche L.Collignon R. (5)0 : 2
    5Svrcina D.Blockx A.1 : 2
    6Wong C.Dzumhur D. (3)2 : 1
    7Navone M. (6)Mochizuki S.2 : 0
    8Bautista-Agut R.Royer V. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Kecmanovic M. (1)Walton A. (8)1 : 2
    2Bellucci M.Collignon R. (5)2 : 0
    3Blockx A.Wong C.2 : 1
    4Navone M. (6)Royer V. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Walton A. (8)Bellucci M.0 : 2
    2Blockx A.Navone M. (6)1 : 2

    Final
    1Bellucci M.Navone M. (6)0 : 2