Result
2:0
13/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cap Cana, hard - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 70% | 62% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 60% (28/47) | 57% (27/47) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 45% (13/29) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 3/5 | 4/8 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 43% (20/47) | 40% (19/47) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 55% (16/29) | 30% (6/20) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 4/8 | 2/5 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 15 | 26 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 21 | 50 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 57% (13/23) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (41/66) | 53% (40/76) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (36/76) | 38% (25/66) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (77/142) | 46% (65/142) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 60% (6/10) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 20% (2/10) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 40% (8/20) |
Chances of winning
Mariano Navone 43% | Valentin Royer 57% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mariano Navone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Valentin Royer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mariano Navone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valentin Royer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mariano Navone - Valentin Royer Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.18 ↑ (2.11) |
|
1.65 (1.65) |
6.6% (8%) | |
What is the prediction for Mariano Navone - Valentin Royer?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Royer will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Navone: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Navone (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Royer (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Navone is ranked ATP: 79. Royer is ranked ATP: 60.
- Both players have been playing unpredictably.
- Royer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Navone won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Mariano Navone won against Valentin Royer?
Mariano Navone has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Valentin Royer won against Mariano Navone?
Valentin Royer has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mariano Navone - Valentin Royer were as follows:
02.10.2025
Valentin Royer
-
Mariano Navone
2:1
Latest results of Mariano Navone
Latest results of Valentin Royer
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Kecmanovic M. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | McDonald M. (Alt) | Landaluce M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Tseng C. H. | Andrade A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Jarry N. (WC) | Walton A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Hurkacz H. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Maestrelli F. | Bellucci M. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | van Assche L. (Q) | Schoolkate T. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Barrios Vera T. | Collignon R. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Garin C. (7) | Svrcina D. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Cid Subervi R. (WC) | Blockx A. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Burruchaga R. A. | Wong C. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Dzumhur D. (3) | |
| 13 | Navone M. (6) | Hardt N. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Mejia N. (Q) | Mochizuki S. (Alt) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Bautista-Agut R. | Goffin D. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Royer V. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Kecmanovic M. (1) | McDonald M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Andrade A. | Walton A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Hurkacz H. (4) | Bellucci M. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | van Assche L. | Collignon R. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Svrcina D. | Blockx A. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Wong C. | Dzumhur D. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Navone M. (6) | Mochizuki S. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bautista-Agut R. | Royer V. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Kecmanovic M. (1) | Walton A. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Bellucci M. | Collignon R. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Blockx A. | Wong C. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Navone M. (6) | Royer V. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Walton A. (8) | Bellucci M. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Blockx A. | Navone M. (6) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Bellucci M. | Navone M. (6) | 0 : 2 |